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Mexico vs South Africa Betting Tips & Predictions – El Tricolor to Make a Strong Start at the World Cup 2026

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Mon 08 Jun 2026 20:19
Mexico enters the World Cup 2026 qualifiers with impressive momentum, having secured three consecutive friendly victories against Ghana, Australia, and Serbia. Their defense has allowed only one goal across those matches, highlighting excellent form. Meanwhile, South Africa has not won a game since December, struggling through four friendlies this year. The article strongly recommends backing Mexico to win to nil, expecting them to start their qualifying campaign with a confident home victory.
Vedran Ostojic 3 hours ago
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  • Mexico have been very strong in recent international friendlies
  • We are backing them to beat South Africa without conceding
  • Check our full preview for Mexico vs South Africa below
Raul Jimenez is expected to lead Mexico's offense (Getty)

Mexico looked great in their recent friendlies, claiming three straight wins against respectable opponents Ghana, Australia and Serbia. I will back them to start the WC 2026 campaign with a clean win over struggling South Africa. 

Key Stats  


  • Mexico have won to nil in 5 of their last 8 matches. 
  • South Africa have lost 3 of their last 7 matches. 

Four Previous Meetings 


Mexico have a 2-1 advantage against South Africa in terms of victories, one clash ending without a winner. 

El Tricolor on a Hot Run 


Mexico’s confidence is at high level ahead of the World Cup 2026, claiming three consecutive victories in friendly matches in the last couple of weeks. 

This winning streak started with a 2-0 victory against Ghana in late May, allowing just 0.17 expected goals to the opposition, followed by a 1-0 win against Australia where Johan Vasquez was the sole scorer in the 28th minute. Once again, their defense did a great job here, allowing just one shot on target. 

In their final test match, Javier Aguirre’s side crushed Serbia 5-1 in front of the home crowd in Toluca, ending this clash with 2.26-0.45 expected goals, 66% possession and 7-1 shots on target. 

South Africa Winless Since December 


This is going to be the first World Cup appearance for South Africa since 2010 when they were the tournament hosts, topping Group C in the regional qualifiers ahead of Nigeria, Benin, Lesotho, Rwanda and Zimbabwe (had five wins, three draws, two defeats). 

Their recent form hasn’t been that great, failing to secure a single victory in four international friendly matches this year. 

South Africa were tagged favorites in their recent friendly against Nicaragua which ended in a goalless draw (Lyle Foster missed a penalty), while they were one minute away from beating Jamaica last weekend, conceding in stoppage time (1-1 FT). 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


To be updated.

Verdict

Besides beating a couple of underdogs at AFCON 2025, South Africa have struggled against serious opposition, failing to win any of their four friendlies this year. I am backing red-hot Mexico to win without conceding in front of the home crowd. 

Best Bet1: Mexico To Win to Nil @1/1 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
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