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Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions & Betting Tips - Comfortable Home Win Predicted in the Champions League

alex-waite
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Last updated: Tue 04 Nov 2025 12:02
Newcastle is expected to perform strongly at home against Athletic Bilbao in the UEFA Champions League clash scheduled for 5 November 2025. Capitalizing on their dominating home form, Newcastle looks to continue their impressive run, having previously defeated top teams with notable goal margins. Athletic Bilbao, struggling away from home, could face challenges against the attacking prowess of Newcastle. Expert predictions favor Newcastle to win with over 2.5 goals scored, positioning them as the favorable pick for bettors.
Alex Waite 04 Nov 2025
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  • Newcastle are on a strong winning run at home
  • Athletic Bilbao haven’t won away since late August
  • A one-sided Toon win is tipped in the Champions League
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Newcastle
Newcastle have won 4 consecutive home matches (Getty)

Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao Preview


Newcastle can use their home strength to comfortably defeat an out-of-form Athletic Bilbao. The Toon often find the net at St James’ Park and a home win with over 2.5 goals is the best bet.
  • Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao Preview
  • Stats
  • HTH
  • Newcastle Form
  • Athletic Bilbao Form 
  • Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News

Stats


  • Newcastle have won 4 consecutive home matches.
  • Newcastle have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 Champions League games.
  • Newcastle have won 2 of their last 3 games against Athletic Bilbao.
  • Newcastle have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 2 home matches against Athletic Bilbao.
  • Athletic Bilbao have lost 2 consecutive matches.
  • Athletic Bilbao have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 games.

HTH


Newcastle have a 2-1 advantage against Athletic Bilbao in three previous meetings.

Newcastle Form


Newcastle lost their opening Champions League match 2-1 against Barcelona. The Toon responded positively with a 4-0 win at Union Saint-Gilloise and a 3-0 home victory over Benfica.

Eddie Howe’s side continued their upturn in form after the Benfica triumph. Newcastle followed that win with home victories against Fulham 2-1 and Tottenham 2-0.

The Magpies’ three-match winning run ended with a 3-1 defeat at West Ham. Jacob Murphy scored first before Newcastle allowed 1.75 XG and conceded three goals. 

Athletic Bilbao Form 


Ernesto Valverde’s Athletic Bilbao are 21st in the Champions League group with one win from three fixtures. They lost 2-0 against Arsenal and 4-1 at Borussia Dortmund before a 3-1 home win over Qarabag. 

The Lions couldn’t build on the Qarabag victory and fell lost 1-0 at home against Getafe in La Liga.

Bilbao lost again on Saturday following a 3-2 away defeat at Real Sociedad. Goals from Gorka Guruzeta and Robert Navarro weren’t enough to prevent a fourth away loss this season. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Newcastle (4-3-3): Nick Pope; Emil Krafth, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Dan Burn; Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Jacob Ramsey; Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Harvey Barnes

Attacker Anthony Gordon is ruled out with a thigh injury. Defensive pair Lewis Hall and Jamaal Lascelles and striker Yoane Wissa are also unavailable due to injury. 

Athletic Bilbao (4-2-3-1): Unai Simon; Jesus Areso, Dani Vivian, Aymeric Laporte, Yuri Berchiche; Alejandro Rego, Mikel Jauregizar, Alex Berenguer, Ohian Sancet, Unai Gomez; Gorka Guruzeta

Defenders Unai Egiluz and Inigo Lekue are sidelined with injuries. Midfielder Benat Prados Diaz has a knee issue and forwards Maroan Sannadi and Inaki Williams are also injured.

Verdict

Newcastle are a strong home side and Athletic Bilbao’s away form is poor. The Magpies have hit good form in the Champions League and can seal a high-scoring win on Wednesday.

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alex-waite
Alex Waite

Football Writer • 10+ Years Of Experience, Football Betting Analyst

Alex is a full-time sports writer, covering football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis as well as providing informative betting guides.

Alex was born in London and studied at Swansea University in Wales. He used to work as a teacher in London but changed a few years ago to work as a full-time sports writer. Mostly enjoys watching and writing about football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis.

Also featured at OneFootball, Football Whispers and World Soccer Talk and can be found at LinkedIn, Twitter and Game Day Stories SubStack.

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