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North Macedonia vs Slovenia Predictions & Tips - Low-Scoring Nationns League Tie Tipped

ryan-allan
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Last updated: Sun 15 Nov 2026 13:55
North Macedonia take on Slovenia at Tose Proeski Arena in the final UEFA Nations League Group B1 fixture, with under 2.5 goals recommended as the main tip. Both teams have been ineffective in attack, as North Macedonia have failed to score in eight of their last nine matches and Slovenia have scored just six goals in their last ten competitive fixtures. Five of the last six head-to-head meetings between these sides have also finished with under 2.5 goals, supporting the expectation of a low-scoring match.
Ryan Allan 52 minutes ago
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  • North Macedonia face Slovenia in a UEFA Nations League contest
  • Under 2.5 goals tipped for Monday's Group B1 clash in Skopje
  • Get our North Macedonia vs Slovenia predictions in the Nations League
Elmin Rastoder
Elmin Rastoder of North Macedonia in action (Getty Images)

North Macedonia vs Slovenia Predictions

North Macedonia face Slovenia at Tose Proeski Arena in Skopje in Monday's final UEFA Nations League Group B1 fixture.

Both nations lack quality in the forward areas, and a low-scoring outcome should be expected.

I have my stake on under 2.5 match goals.

Under 2.5 Goals Tipped in Skopje


  • North Macedonia have seen under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 home matches
  • North Macedonia failed to score in 8 of their last 9 matches
  • Slovenia have seen under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 12 matches
  • Slovenia scored an average of 1.0 goals per game in their last 7 matches

North Macedonia vs Slovenia Head to Head

North Macedonia and Slovenia have met on six previous occasions. Both nations claimed two wins, while two games finished level.

Under 2.5 goals were scored in five of those six matches, including Slovenia's 2-0 win earlier this year.

North Macedonia Beaten Again

North Macedonia return to home soil after a narrow 2-1 defeat against Scotland at Hampden Park on Friday.

John McGinn broke the deadlock after the interval before Elmin Rastoder headed North Macedonia level just three minutes later. 

McGinn restored Scotland's lead from the penalty spot after goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski fouled Ben Gannon-Doak.

Sedloski's side put in a spirited display but were unable to create much in the way of clear-cut opportunities. The North Macedonians registered seven shots and a final xG total of just 0.26. 

Friday's defeat in Glasgow made it five successive reversals for the North Macedonians in League B, Group 1.

Before their reversal at Hampden, the Lions lost against Switzerland (3-0 twice), Scotland (2-0) and Slovenia (2-0). North Macedonia had failed to score before Rastoder's headed effort on Friday.

Slovenia Frustrate Group Leaders Switzerland

Slovenia arrive in Skopje after picking up a hard-fought goalless draw against Switzerland in Maribor on Friday.

Bostjan Cesar's side will have been satisfied to pick up a deserved point against the League B, Group 1 winners.

Slovenia had just 29% possession and recorded only eight shots to Switzerland's 13. Both sides struggled to generate clear chances, as reflected by the final xG totals (0.35-0.57).

Friday's draw maintained Slovenia's grip on second place in the section. Cesar's men sit one point ahead of Scotland coming into Monday's final round of fixtures in League B, Group 1.

A victory in Skopje would secure second place and a promotion play-off spot. 

Despite their improved performances in October and November, a lack of firepower remains a concern. Slovenia scored just six goals in their last ten competitive fixtures since September 2025. 

North Macedonia vs Slovenia Team News

North Macedonia Squad

Goalkeepers: Stole Dimitrievski, Damjan Shishkovski, Davor Taleski.
Defenders: Ezgjan Alioski, Visar Musliu, Nikola Serafimov, Bojan Ilievski, Sebastian Herrera, Mario Mladenovski, Stefan Despotovski, Imran Fetai, Anes Meliqi.
Midfielders: Enis Bardhi (captain), Eljif Elmas, Boban Nikolov, Jani Atanasov, Agon Elezi, Luka Stankovski, Matej Gashtarov.
Forwards: Darko Churlinov, Ljupcho Doriev, Elmin Rastoder, Dimitar Mitrovski, Azer Omeragikj, Hristijan Maleski, Marko Gjorgjievski.

North Macedonia boss Goce Sedloski is expected to make one or two changes following Friday's defeat against Scotland.

Agon Elezi, Hristijan Maleski, Luka Stankovski and Boban Nikolov are among those pushing for recalls to the starting XI.

The hosts have no reported injury or suspension concerns.

Slovenia Squad

Goalkeepers: Jan Oblak (captain), Matevz Vidovsek, Igor Vekic.
Defenders: Zan Karnicnik, Jost Urbancic, Zan Zaletel, Srdjan Kuzmic, Relja Obric, Vanja Drkusic, David Brekalo, Erik Janza, David Zec.
Midfielders: Benjamin Verbic, Sandi Lovric, Mark Zabukovnik, Adrian Zeljkovic, Tjas Begic, Tomi Horvat, Adam Gnezda Cerin.
Forwards: Andraz Sporar, Zan Celar, Danijel Sturm, Zan Vipotnik, Aljosa Matko.

Slovenia boss Cesar could make changes to the side that held Switzerland to a goalless draw on Friday.

Erik Janza and David Zec are likely to return to the first XI after serving suspensions against Switzerland.

Defender Jaka Bijol is suspended for Monday's matchup, while Benjamin Sesko and Timi Max Elsnik remain sidelined through injury.

Verdict

Slovenia should have the edge, but North Macedonia are capable of making this a tight contest on Monday.

With both teams struggling in the forward areas, I expect a low-scoring outcome in Skopje.

I'm backing under 2.5 goals at Tose Proeski Arena.

Best Bet1: Under 2.5 Goals Total Goals @4/6 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Slovenia 1-0 Correct Score @6/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
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ryan-allan
Ryan Allan

Football Writer • 10+ Years Of Experience, Football Analyst

Ryan is a Barcelona-based football fanatic with 10+ years of experience as a sports writer and statistical analyst. He covers a number of leagues including from his native Scotland, Italy, Germany and more.


A huge fan of the goal markets, he specialises in BTTS and over 2.5 goal picks from the MLS to the Bundesliga and beyond.

He has also been featured on MightyTips and you can find more from Ryan on Muckrack and LinkedIn.

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