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Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Live Stream & Betting Tips – Los Blancos to Win in La Liga Final Round

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Fri 22 May 2026 10:04
Real Madrid are looking to end a difficult trophyless season with a home win against Athletic Bilbao in their landmark 250th head-to-head clash. While Madrid have improved form with recent back-to-back wins, their opponents have struggled, securing just one point in the last three games. This match also marks the end of Ernesto Valverde’s tenure at Bilbao. Despite Bilbao’s inefficiency, they are likely to score, but Real are favorites at home. A win for Madrid and Both Teams To Score (BTTS) is the top recommendation.
Vedran Ostojic 22 May 2026
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  • Real Madrid are looking to to finish the season on a high note
  • We are backing them to beat Athletic Bilbao with BTTS
  • Watch Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao live in La Liga
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Real Madrid searching for their 3rd straight win (Getty)

Real Madrid grinded two victories in the last two rounds and now are expected to close the season with a win in front of their fans. Athletic Bilbao created a lot of chances in their recent games, so I am going with Los Blancos win & BTTS on Saturday. 

Key Stats  


  • Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 4 matches. 
  • Real Madrid have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 home matches. 
  • Athletic Bilbao have lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 
  • Athletic Bilbao have seen BTTS in 2 of their last 3 away matches. 

This Will be Their 250th Head to Head Meeting 


Real Madrid hold a 125-79 advantage against Athletic Bilbao in terms of victories, 45 matches ending without a winner. 

Turbulent Season for Los Blancos 


Real Madrid are about to wrap up a disastrous season, failing to secure a single trophy for a second year in a row. They are bound to second place in La Liga ahead of the final round with 83 points from 37 matches. 

Barcelona successfully defended La Liga title earlier this month by defeating Los Blancos 2-0 at Camp Nou. Alvaro Arbeloa’s side recorded just one shot on target here. 

Real Madrid’s form has improved since, claiming back to back victories against Real Oviedo 2-0 and Sevilla 1-0. They were lucky with clean sheets here, allowing 23 shots total across these matches. 

End of an Era for Bilbao with Valverde's Departure


Athletic Bilbao also had a poor run in La Liga this season, occupying 12th place with 45 points, poor efficiency being labelled as their biggest problem (scored just 41 goals). Also, this will be the last match for Ernesto Valverde in charge. 

The Basque side grabbed just one point from their last three league games, suffering back to back defeats to Valencia 1-0 and Espanyol 2-0 in mid-May. They had around 1.00 xG in both of these games yet failed to find the net. 

Athletic Bilbao had 2.50-0.15 expected goals and 27-3 shots in last weekend’s home clash against Celta Vigo and still had to settle for a 1-1 draw. Inaki Williams was their sole scorer. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Real Madrid (4-3-3) Thibaut Courtois; Daniel Carvajal, Antonio Rudiger, Dean Huijsen, Fran Garcia; Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham; Brahim Diaz, Kylian Mbappe, Franco Mastantuono

Real Madrid have a lengthy list of absences to manage, including Vinicius Junior, who is away with permission, and Aurelien Tchouameni, who is out with discomfort. Long-term injury concerns also persist for Ferland Mendy, Eder Militao, Arda Guler, and Rodrygo.

Athletic Bilbao (4-2-3-1) Unai Simon; Andoni Gorosabel, Yeray Alvarez, Aymeric Laporte, Inigo Lekue; Mikel Jauregizar, Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta; Inaki Williams, Nico Serrano, Alex Berenguer; Gorka Guruzeta

Nico Williams, Oihan Sancet, and Daniel Vivian are sidelined with injuries.

Verdict

Athletic Bilbao posted around 4.50 xG in their last three league games and I like their chances of finding the net at Bernabeu but only as a consolation goal. A home win & BTTS is the best bet here. 

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