Strasbourg vs Mainz Predictions & Tips – Strasbourg Backed to Win in the Conference League
As Strasbourg prepares for their next Ligue 1 match following a week-long rest, their strong home performance this season positions them as favorites. Facing Mainz, who are coming off a defeat to Freiburg and known for their less impressive away games, odds are tilted towards a Strasbourg victory. The key takeaway is Strasbourg's potential to leverage their home advantage against a struggling Mainz, making them the likely winners of the match.
- Strasbourg had a full week to rest for this clash
- We are backing them to win the second tie
- Check our preview for Strasbourg vs Mainz below
Mainz have lost almost half of their Bundesliga games on the road this season, so I will back Strasbourg to earn at least a consolation win on Thursday.
- Key Stats
- Two Previous Meetings
- Strasbourg Need an Early Goal
- Mainz Not Doing Great Away from Home
- Team News & Predicted Lineups
Key Stats
- Strasbourg have won 2 of their last 3 matches.
- Mainz have lost 7 of their last 13 away matches.
Two Previous Meetings
This is going to be third head to head clash between these two sides, both happening in the last eight months.
Strasbourg Need an Early Goal
Strasbourg had 66% possession, 1.06 xG and one huge goal opportunity last week in Germany against Mainz but still suffered a painful 2-0 defeat.
They eliminated Rijeka 3-2 on aggregate in the previous Conference League playoff round. The first leg was in Croatia, claiming a 2-1 victory, while the score in France was 1-1. Both sides created a lot of goal chances in these encounters (7-6 in favor of Strasbourg).
Gary O’Neil’s side rested last weekend in Ligue 1. In their most recent league game, they outclassed Nice 3-1 at home, which was their second straight victory.
Mainz Not Doing Great Away from Home
Mainz caught Strasbourg off guard in the first tie last week, netting two goals in the opening 19 minutes through Kaishu Sano and Stefan Posch, then focused on defending and counter-attacks.
It’s been a while since they won a Conference League game on the road. Two of their last three trips were draws against Sigma Olomouc 0-0 and Lech Poznan 1-1, while losing to Universitatea Craiova 1-0 in the group stage.
Last weekend, Urs Fischer’s side suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Freiburg in Bundesliga, ending the match with 0.55-0.57 expected goals and 3-3 shots on target.
Team News & Predicted Lineups
Strasbourg (4-3-1-2): Mike Penders, Guela Doue, Ismael Doukoure, Andrew Omobamidele, Ben Chilwell, Samir El Mourabet, Maximillian Oyedele, Valentin Barco, Yassine, Julio Enciso, Emran Godo
Junior Mwanga (shoulder problem), Aaron Anselmino (hamstring) and Joaquin Panichelli (ligament injury) are ruled out for the home side.
Mainz (3-5-2): Daniel Batz, Danny Da Costa, Stefan Posch, Dominik Kohr, Silvan Widmer, Paul Nebel, Kaishu Sano, Sota Kawasaki, Phillipp Mwene, Nelson Weiper, Phillip Tietz
Junior Mwanga (shoulder problem), Aaron Anselmino (hamstring) and Joaquin Panichelli (ligament injury) are ruled out for the home side.
Verdict
Strasbourg had seven days of rest, and their Ligue 1 success this season has been built on strong performances at home. Mainz lost to Freiburg last weekend and generally perform poorly on the road, so I will back the French side to win.
Strasbourg Win
Full-Time Result
@9/10 - 2 Units
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