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Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions & Tips – Low-Scoring UCL Clash

vedran-ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Tue 30 Sep 2025 15:47
Athletic Bilbao have played seven La Liga games this season with just 15 goals scored overall, highlighting their defensive solidity or struggles in front of goal. Meanwhile, Borussia Dortmund have shown impressive defensive form with four consecutive clean sheets in the Bundesliga. Given these stats, the upcoming meeting between these teams in Germany is predicted to be a low-scoring match. The main recommendation is to back under 2.5 goals as the smartest bet, reflecting both teams' defensive trends.
Vedran Ostojic 30 Sep 2025
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  • Dortmund have kept 4 consecutive clean sheets in Bundesliga
  • We are not expecting a lot of goals on Wednesday at Signal Iduna Park
  • Check our full match preview for Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao
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Borussia Dortmund host Athletic Bilbao (Getty)

Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Preview 


Borussia Dortmund’s back line has been impressive recently, keeping four consecutive clean sheets in Bundesliga. All of Athletic Bilbao’s games in September were low-scoring affairs, so I will back under 2.5 goals in Germany. 
  • Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Preview 
  • Stats 
  • HTH 
  • Borussia Dortmund Form 
  • Athletic Bilbao Form 
  • Team News 
  • Predicted Starting Lineups  

Stats 


  • Borussia Dortmund have seen under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches. 
  • Athletic Bilbao have seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches. 
  • Athletic Bilbao have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 2 matches against Borussia Dortmund. 

HTH 


This is going to be the third head to head match between these two sides. Athletic Bilbao won both encounters so far, 1-0 in August 2016 and 2-0 in July 2021 (friendly games). 

Borussia Dortmund Form 


Borussia Dortmund picked up great form in Bundesliga recently, winning four games in a row and moved up to 2nd place, just two points short of Bayern Munich. 

They returned from the international break with a 2-0 win at Heidenheim, followed by two more victories against Wolfsburg 1-0 and Mainz 2-0, Sehrou Guirassy scoring three, Karim Adeyemi two goals in these encounters. 

BVB had a 4-2 lead against Juventus in Torino in their UCL opening match two weeks ago but conceded twice in stoppage time and had to settle with a 4-4 draw, Adeyemi, Felix Nmecha, Yan Couto and Ramy Bensebaini on target. 

Athletic Bilbao Form 


Ernesto Valverde is currently under massive pressure after losing four out of last five games across competitions. 

Athletic Bilbao have been struggling in La Liga recently, grabbing just one point from four September contests and dropped to 10th place. 

After losing back to back to Alaves 1-0 and Valencia 2-0, the Basque side won just a point at home against last-placed Girona 1-1. Last weekend, they were beaten at Villarreal 1-0, ending the match with 1.44-1.22 xG, 58% possession and 16-14 shots. 

In their UCL opening match two weeks ago, Athletic Bilbao were deservedly beaten by Arsenal 2-0 in front of the home crowd. 

Team News 


Aaron Anselmino (muscle injury), Julien Duranville (shoulder injury) and Emre Can (groin injury) are out for Borussia Dortmund. Cole Campbell is also going to miss this match, currently on his U20 international duty. 

As for the visitors, latest reports say Nico Williams finally recovered from an injury and might start on bench. Alex Berenguer, Mikel Vesga, Benat Prados and Unai Egiluz didn’t travel to Germany due to injuries. 

Predicted Starting Lineups  


Dortmund: Kobel, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini, Couto, Sabitzer, Nmecha, Svensson, Adeyemi, Beier, Guirassy 

Athletic Bilbao: Simon, Areso, Vivian, Paredes, Berchiche, Ruiz de Galarreta, Jauregizar, Sancet, I Williams, Gomez, Guruzeta 

Verdict

Only 15 goals were scored in Athletic Bilbao’s seven La Liga games this season, while Borussia Dortmund kept four clean sheets in a row in Bundesliga. I am predicting a cagey affair in Germany, under 2.5 goals being the best bet. 

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vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic

Sports Editor • 10+ Years Of Experience in Football, Basketball, Handball & Volleyball

Located in Sarajevo, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Vedran is a passionate sports enthusiast with a particular love for the English Premier League. He's been writing about sports online for almost a decade with a degree in literature and sports journalism. The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, Serie A & Bundesliga) and basketball (Euroleague & NBA).

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