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Chelsea vs Pafos Betting Tips - Blues Win to Nil in the Champions League

alex-waite
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Last updated: Wed 21 Jan 2026 17:03
Chelsea is predicted to dominate their Champions League matchup against Pafos, leveraging their strong form and home advantage. Analysts forecast a confident win for Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, with odds favoring a victory to nil. Suggested betting strategies include a win to nil at 1.91 odds for 3 units and a targeted 2-0 victory for 1 unit. The Blues aim to demonstrate superior control throughout the game, solidifying their standing in the tournament.
Alex Waite 21 Jan 2026
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  • Chelsea beat Brentford 2-0 on Saturday
  • Pafos haven’t scored away in the UCL
  • A Champions League home win to nil is tipped
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Chelsea
Chelsea have won to nil in 2 of their last 3 home Champions League games (Getty)

Chelsea vs Pafos Preview 


Chelsea have had some positive results under Liam Rosenior and the Blues will want to build winning momentum. Pafos have struggled for away goals in the Champions League and a home win to nil has good value. 

Key Stats - Pafos Unthreatening Away


Chelsea have won to nil in 2 of their last 3 home Champions League games.
Pafos have lost their last 2 away matches.
Pafos have failed to score in their last 3 away Champions League games. 

H2H - First Meeting 


This will be the first-ever meeting between Chelsea and Pafos. 

Chelsea Building Form


Chelsea are 13th in the Champions League group and just two points off the automatic qualification spots. The Blues have won all three European home games and conceded one goal.

The West London side have won two of their first three games under new boss Liam Rosenior. A 5-1 FA Cup victory at Charlton was followed by a 3-2 home defeat to Arsenal.

The Blues replied with a 2-0 home triumph against Brentford in the Premier League. Chelsea had 1.59 XG and Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer scored in each half. 

Pafos Struggle for Away UCL Goals


Pafos are 26th in the 2025/26 Champions League group and have one victory from six games. The Cypriot outfit are the second lowest scorers in the competition with four goals.

The Light Brigade are in patchy recent form with two defeats and two wins from four matches. A 2-1 defeat at Apollon came before back-to-back victories at home against Chlorakas 2-1 and Omonia Aradippou 2-0.

Pafos couldn’t continue their winning streak and lost 2-0 at Omonoia as they conceded twice in the final 20 minutes. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Chelsea (4-3-2-1): Robert Sanchez; Reece James, Trevoh Chalobah, Benoit Badiashile, Marc Cucurella; Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos; Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Alejandro Garnacho; Joao Pedro 

Midfielder Enzo Fernandez is unlikely to feature due to illness. Defenders Levil Colwill and midfielder Romeo Lavia are out due to injury.

Tosin Adarabioyo came off against Brentford with an njury. Liam Rosenior ruled the centre-back out of the Pafos game and said, "Tosin, there is something in his hamstring which will rule him out for the next few weeks."

Pafos (3-4-2-1): Neofytos Michail; Derrick Luckassen, Axel Guessand, Kostas Pileas; Langa Bruno, Ivan Sunjic, Pepe, Mislav Orsic; Jaja, Vlad Dragomir; Anderson Silva

Defenders David Luiz and David Goldar were subbed off due to injury against Nicosia and could miss out here.

Centre-back Pedrao is ruled out due to a long-term knee injury. 

Verdict

Chelsea are likely to dominate this Champions League encounter against Pafos. The Blues can control the game and secure a win-to-nil at Stamford Bridge.

Best Bet1: Chelsea Win to Nil Win to Nil @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Chelsea Win 2-0 Correct Score @13/2 at bet365 - 1 Unit
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