Marseille vs Ajax Predictions & Betting Tips - Marseille’s Home Record to be Extended in the Champions League
Marseille hosts Ajax in a crucial Champions League tie on 30 September 2025. The French side boasts an impeccable home record, having won their last seven matches at Stade Vélodrome, including two consecutive home wins against Ajax. Ajax, meanwhile, struggle in European competitions but remain unbeaten domestically. Injury concerns and inconsistent away form put Ajax at a disadvantage. Marseille’s robust home advantage and recent successes make them strong favorites. Action point: Marseille is tipped to win, with current odds at 1.50.
- Marseille have won their last 7 home matches
- The French side have won 2 straight at home against Ajax
- We are backing Roberto De Zerbi’s side in the UCL
Marseille vs Ajax Preview
Marseille have won seven straight at home which includes a recent 1-0 victory over PSG. Ajax haven’t kept a clean sheet in five games, Marseille set to win in the Champions League.
- Marseille vs Ajax Preview
- Stats
- HTH
- Last 5 Meetings
- Marseille Form
- Ajax Form
- Probable Lineups & Team News
Stats
- Marseille have won their last 7 home matches.
- Marseille have won 4 of their last 5 home matches in UEFA competitions.
- Marseille have won their last 2 home matches against Ajax.
- Ajax have lost their last 4 matches in UEFA competitions.
HTH
Ajax have a 4-3 advantage against Marseille alongside one draw.
They last met in the 2023/24 Europa League group stage, a 3-3 draw in Amsterdam followed by Marseille winning 4-3 in France where Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang hit a hat-trick.
Last 5 Meetings
| Competition | Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Europa League | 30.11.2023 | Marseille | 4:3 | Ajax |
| UEFA Europa League | 21.09.2023 | Ajax | 3:3 | Marseille |
| UEFA Cup | 18.03.2009 | Ajax | 2:2 AET | Ajax |
| UEFA Cup | 12.03.2009 | Marseille | 2:1 | Ajax |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 20.04.1988 | Ajax | 1:2 | Marseille |
Marseille Form
Marseille have been strong at home, winning all three games in Ligue 1. They beat Paris FC 5-2 and Lorient 4-0, keeping the run going with a 1-0 victory against PSG thanks to an early own goal.
Roberto De Zerbi’s side lost their opening three away games this season, a disappointing 1-0 defeat at Rennes followed by another 1-0 loss at Lyon where CJ Egan-Riley was sent off in the 29th minute.
The Phocaeans suffered a 2-1 defeat at Real Madrid in the Champions League, allowing 15 shots on target and conceding a late equaliser despite playing against 10 men.
Marseille turned their road form around on Friday when they won 2-1 at Strasbourg. They left it late despite ending the contest with 9-1 shots on target, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang equalising in the 78th minute and Amir Murillo scoring in added time.
Ajax Form
Ajax are unbeaten in the Eredivisie, winning all four matches and home and drawing all three on the road. Their previous away game ended in a 2-2 draw at PSV Eindhoven thanks to Oscar Gloukh’s 88th minute equaliser.
John Heitinga’s side bounced back in Amsterdam on Saturday, Gloukh and Kenneth Taylor scoring in a 2-1 win against NAC Breda. It was far from convincing as they ended with 7-7 shots on target.
Ajax had a disappointing start in the Champions League, losing 2-0 at home to Inter Milan. They had 56% possession and 1.26-1.23 xG but failed to take their chances against the Italian side.
Probable Lineups & Team News
Marseille (4-2-3-1) Gerónimo Rulli; Michael Murillo, Leonardo Balerdi, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson; Matt O’Riley, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg; Mason Greenwood, Ángel Gomes, Timothy Weah; Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Geoffrey Kondogbia is out with a calf issue, Hamed Junior Traoré has a thigh injury and Faris Moumbagna has a muscle problem. Goalkeeper Ruben Blanco remains doubtful.
Ajax (4-2-3-1) Vítezslav Jaros; Anton Gaaei, Ko Itakura, Youri Baas, Owen Wijndal; Youri Regeer, Davy Klaassen, Kenneth Taylor; Oliver Edvardsen, Wout Weghorst, Mika Godts
Branco van den Boomen and Kasper Dolberg are doubtful. Wout Weghorst has a back issue but is expected to be available.
Verdict
Marseille do all their best work at home where they have won their previous two games against Ajax. I am sticking with the French side in the Champions League.
Marseille Win
Full Time Result
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