Napoli vs Chelsea Betting Tips - Home Win or Draw Has Value in the Champions League

Alex Waite

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Last updated: Tue 27 Jan 2026 11:01

Alex Waite 27 Jan 2026

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Napoli are unbeaten at home this season
Chelsea are winless away in the 2025/26 UCL
The Azzurri can win or draw in the Champions League

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Napoli are unbeaten in 18 consecutive home games (Getty)

Napoli vs Chelsea Preview

Napoli are a top home side and haven’t lost at home in the 2025/26 campaign. Chelsea have dropped Champions League points on the road and a home double chance bet has good value.

Napoli vs Chelsea Preview
Key Stats - Azzurri Rock Solid at Home
H2H - Napoli Edge
Napoli Excellent at Home
Chelsea Poor Away in Europe
Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News

Key Stats - Azzurri Rock Solid at Home

Napoli are unbeaten in 18 consecutive home games.
Napoli are unbeaten in their last 2 matches against Chelsea.
Chelsea are winless in 3 consecutive away UCL games.

H2H - Napoli Edge

Napoli have a 1-0 advantage against Chelsea, alongside one draw.

Napoli Excellent at Home

Napoli are outside the Champions League play-off places on goal difference. Antonio Conte’s side are unbeaten in five European matches in 2025/26, with no home defeats.

The Azzurri beat Qarabag 2-0 before a 2-0 loss at Benfica and a 1-1 draw in Copenhagen.

The Serie A side were unbeaten in nine games in all competitions before a 3-0 loss at Juventus. Napoli conceded in the first half and shipped two more goals in the final 13 minutes.

Chelsea Poor Away in Europe

Liam Rosenior’s Chelsea occupy eighth place in the Champions League group. The Blues are inside the top eight on goal difference only.

Chelsea have been patchy in Europe recently and dropped points at Qarabag 2-2 and Atalanta 2-1. The Blues responded to the Atalanta loss with a 1-0 home victory against Pafos.

The West London side also beat Crystal Palace 3-1 in the Premier League. Estevao, Joao Pedro and Enzo Fernandez were on target to seal the victory.

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News

Napoli (4-3-3): Alex Meret; Sam Beukema, Alessandro Buongiorno, Juan Jesus; Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Leonardo Spinazzola; Antonio Vergara, Eljif Elmas; Rasmus Hojlund

Goalkeeper Vanja Milinkovic-Savic and attackers Matteo Politano and David Neres are unavailable due to injury.

Midfielders Frank Anguissa, Kevin De Bruyne and Billy Gilmour and defender Amir Rrahmani are also injured.

Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez; Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella; Reece James, Moises Caicedo; Estevao, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto; Joao Pedro

Goalkeeper Filip Jorgensen is an injury doubt and defenders Levi Colwill and Tosin Adarabioyo are ruled out. Midfield pair Romeo Lavia and Dario Essugo are also sidelined due to injury.

Cole Palmer is likely to return against Napoli. Rosenior was upbeat about the midfielder’s progress and said, “Cole (Palmer) is in a good place; he joined training today, which is really positive, and we will assess his reaction to training.”

Verdict

Napoli v Chelsea

Napoli haven’t lost at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium this season and Chelsea are inconsistent away. It’s worth sticking with an Azzurri win or draw in this Champions League game.

Napoli Win or Draw

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