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Benfica vs Real Madrid Predictions, HTH & Betting Tips - Kylian Mbappe to Score in the Champions League

matthew-marshall
Editor
Last updated: Tue 27 Jan 2026 21:23
The upcoming clash between Benfica and Real Madrid in the Primeira Liga promises to be a thrilling encounter. Benfica aims to rebound from recent setbacks, but Real Madrid, under Alvaro Arbeloa, has been in stellar form, registering convincing victories. With stars like Kylian Mbappe playing a crucial role, Real Madrid is heavily favored to secure a win and extend their unbeaten streak in Lisbon. Benfica, despite their struggles, will look to capitalize on home advantage to surprise pundits. With live streaming available, fans can watch the excitement unfold.
Matthew Marshall 27 Jan 2026
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  • Benfica have lost 3 of their previous 5 matches
  • The Portuguese club sit 29th in the Champions League
  • I am backing Real Madrid to be too good in Portugal
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Kylian Mbappe of Real Madrid (Getty Images)
Kylian Mbappe has scored 16 goals in his last 12 matches (Getty)

Benfica vs Real Madrid Preview


Real Madrid have found their feet under Alvaro Arbeloa, scoring 10 goals in three games. I think Los Blancos will outclass Benfica and take all three points in Lisbon.

HTH - Last Clash in 1965


These clubs have met three times, Benfica with a 2-1 advantage.

The Eagles won 5-3 in the 1962 European Cup final with Eusebio scoring twice and Ferenc Puskas hitting a hat-trick for the Real Madrid.

Competition Date Home Score Away
European Cup 17/03/1965 Real Madrid 2:1 Benfica
European Cup 24/02/1965 Benfica 5:1 Real Madrid
European Cup 02/05/1962 Benfica 5:3 Real Madrid

Benfica on the Outside Looking in


Benfica suffered two Cup exits in January, a disappointing 3-1 defeat to Braga in the League Cup semi-finals and a hard fought 1-0 loss at Porto in the Portuguese Cup.

Jose Mourinho’s side bounced back in the Primeira Liga, winning 2-0 at Rio Ave but the joy was short lived.

The Eagles lost 2-0 at Juventus which put their Champions League hopes in jeopardy. They were competitive in Turin but failed to take their chances, ending with 1.44-1.36 xG.

Benfica beat Estrela da Amadora 4-0 on Sunday with Vangelis Pavlidis scoring the opening two goals. The Greek striker has been a shining light this season, scoring 26 goals in 30 appearances for the Lisbon club.

Two 17-year-olds combined for the final goal with Daniel Banjaqui assisting Anísio Cabral, Mourinho saying: “I can't say I expected it for sure, but I can say I expected that both would have the level to play in Benfica's first team”.

New Manager Bounce for Real Madrid


Real Madrid lost 3-2 against Barcelona in the Super Cup final which saw the club say goodbye to Xabi Alonso. Alvaro Arbeloa got the job, his first game in charge a humiliating 3-2 defeat at Albacate in the Copa del Rey.

Los Blancos have won three straight since, all by 2+ goals. They beat Levante 2-0 before a thumping 6-1 victory over Monaco in the Champions League, Kylian Mbappe scoring the opening two goals.

Mbappe bagged another two goals in a 2-0 win at Villarreal on Saturday, limiting their opponents to 0.57 xG. The win kept Real Madrid one point behind Barcelona in La Liga.

Predicted Lineups & Team News


Benfica (4-2-3-1) Anatoliy Trubin; Amar Dedic, Antonio Silva, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl; Enzo Barrenechea, Leandro Barreiro; Fredrik Aursnes, Georgiy Sudakov, Sidny Cabral; Vangelis Pavlidis

Alexander Bah, Richard Rios and Dodi Lukebakio are injured. Rafa came off the bench against Amadora after returning to the club from Besiktas.

Leandro Barreiro could come back into midfield here with Fredrik Aursnes moving to the right wing and Gianluca Prestianni making way.

Real Madrid (4-3-3) Thibaut Courtois; Federico Valverde, Raul Asencio, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Arda Guler, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham; Franco Mastantuono, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior

Defenders Antonio Rudiger, Eder Militao, Ferland Mendy and Trent Alexander-Arnold are all injured.

Kylian Mbappe has scored 11 goals in six Champions League games this season and netted 21 goals in 20 La Liga appearances.

Verdict

Benfica have lost five of their seven Champions League games and are on the outside looking in. Real Madrid have enough incentive to want to win in Lisbon and with a far superior squad, they can obtain their objective.

Best Bet1: Real Madrid Win Full Time Result @3/4 at Hollywood bets - 6 Units
Best Bet2: Kylian Mbappe To Score 2+ Goals @3/1 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Kylian Mbappe First Goalscorer @3/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
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