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New Zealand Warriors vs Wests Tigers NRL Betting Tips - Warriors to dominate Wests in Round 4

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Tue 24 Mar 2026 20:16
The New Zealand Warriors are set to face the Wests Tigers with high expectations of securing a victory. The Warriors have dominated the Tigers in recent matchups, boasting an average winning margin of 28 points this season. With the return of Luke Metcalf, the Warriors aim to strengthen their attack. Despite the Tigers' strong defensive efforts, they struggled to capitalize on scoring opportunities against the Rabbitohs. The Warriors are favored to win by a margin, with Leka Halasima poised to add to his try-scoring streak.
Jeremy Darke 24 Mar 2026
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  • Warriors have a 9-match winning streak against the Tigers.
  • Warriors average a 28-point victory margin this season.
  • Tigers defence improved but lacked scoring efficiency.
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luke metcalf
Luke Metcalf of the Warriors (Getty Images)

New Zealand Warriors vs Wests Tigers Preview


The Warriors are top of the NRL ladder and should be good enough for another clear-cut win over Wests. The Tigers have lost nine straight in this fixtures with New Zealand backed to cover the line.

  • The Warriors have won 9 straight matches against the Wests Tigers 
  • The Warriors have an average winning margin of 28 points this season. 
  • Wests had 53 tackles inside Souths 20m last week, scoring just 2 tries.
  • Leka Halasima has scored 5 tries in his last 4 games, scoring in each match.

Head to Head 


The Warriors have owned the Tigers since 2020 winning the last nine straight contests. You would even need to go back to 2016 since the last time the Tigers beat the Warriors in New Zealand.

New Zealand won comfortably 34-14 at Go Media in Round 19 last season.

New Zealand Warriors Enjoy Dream Start


The Warriors are absolutely flying to start the 2026 and should only get better with the return of Luke Metcalf this weekend against the Tigers. 

Three wins from three games and not grinding victories either, winning by an average margin of 28 points. It really is a Warriors team that we saw a couple of years back where their defence was the cornerstone of their success. 

Andrew Webster’s men can hold their line and the kicking game and running game of Tanah Boyd has been a highlight with the Warriors averaging just 12 points against while putting up 40. 

All eyes will be on what Luke Metcalf will bring in his first game back after his ACL injury single.handedly derailed the Warriors season in 2025. Boyd will now shift to the No. 6 with Metcalf at halfback. Will this make the Warriors more potent or will it disrupt the chemistry?

Wests Tigers Defence The Key


Wests couldn’t do enough in attack to get past the Rabbitohs on the weekend, going down 20-16 on the Central Coast. 

The Tigers had 54% of the possession and 66% of the territory with 53 tackles inside Souths 20m and only came up with just 2 tries. The injury to Jarome Luai didn’t help while Adam Douhei also struggled with his hamstring during the match, but the only real danger was the running game of Apisai Koroisau.

The major positive was the attitude in defence. The Tigers managed to shut down the left side attack of the Rabbits for most of the match and appear to have a better stronghold on defending their own line than they had last season. 

Verdict

The Warriors are backed to cover the 13.5 points as the favourites at home and hold the Tigers to under 16.5 points. Leka Halasima will cross for the fifth straight game.

Best Bet1: New Zealand -13.5 Handicap/Line @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Wests Under 16.5 Team Total @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Leka Halasima Anytime Tryscorer @21/20 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Leka Halasima First Tryscorer @10/1 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
New Zealand -13.5
Handicap/Line
@10/11 - 3 Units
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Leka Halasima
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@21/20 - 1 Unit
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Leka Halasima
First Tryscorer
@10/1 - 1 Unit
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