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Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Jasmine Paolini Betting Tips & Live Stream – Paolini Backed to Cruise in Melbourne

moti-prakash
Moti Prakash
Editor
Last updated: Sat 17 Jan 2026 12:25
As the Australian Open unfolds, Jasmine Paolini's impressive Grand Slam record sets her up as a formidable opponent against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. While Paolini boasts strong performances in early rounds, Sasnovich heads into the event with significant wins under her belt, although facing challenges against top-10 players. Despite Sasnovich's recent momentum, Paolini's consistent excellence, including her spectacular 2025 season with WTA 1000 finals and major runner-up finishes, establishes her as the favorite. If she continues her early-season performance, Paolini is likely to secure a comfortable victory.
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Moti Prakash 17 Jan 2026
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  • Jasmine Paolini's formidable early-season form gives her an edge
  • Aliaksandra Sasnovich aims to capitalize on recent momentum
  • Paolini’s consistent Grand Slam performances suggest she will likely advance
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Jasmine Paolini
Jasmine Paolini plays a backhand in her opening week showdown match against Elena Rybakina in Melbourne, Australia. (credit: Getty)
Sasnovich can swing freely, but Paolini’s strong start to the season should see her come through this comfortably.

Stats - First-Round Records & Slam Trends

  • Aliaksandra Sasnovich has not reached round two of a major outside Wimbledon since the 2023 Australian Open. 
  • Sasnovich is 6–23 vs top-10 players, 0–9 since 2022.
  • Jasmine Paolini is 8–0 in first rounds of Grand Slams since 2024. 
  • She has not lost to an outside top-100 player at a Slam since Roland Garros 2023. 

HTH - Aliaksandra Sasnovich leads 1-0

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2020 Palermo Clay R16 Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-0, 6-2

Aliaksandra Sasnovich Eyeing a Deeper Australian Open Run

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has made a strong start to the season, already collecting seven wins across her first two tournaments. She came through qualifying in Brisbane to reach the third round, knocking out Clara Tauson and Anna Blinkova before her run was halted by Liudmila Samsonova. 

Those results build on a modest but steady 2025 campaign, where her best performances came with a semifinal showing in Cluj and a third-round run in Beijing. 

Sasnovich has carried that momentum into Australian Open qualifying, beating Daria Snigur and Kathinka von Deichmann to reach the main draw. She now targets a second-round appearance at the Australian Open for the first time since 2023.

Category Details
Nationality Belarus
Age 31 (22 March 1994)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 102
Career High 29 (19 September 2022)
Elo Ranking 76 (Rating: 1759)

Jasmine Paolini’s Grand Slam Pedigree on Display

Jasmine Paolini comes into the season after a brief United Cup outing, where she split her two singles matches. She beat Leolia Jeanjean before falling to Belinda Bencic. 

Even so, her form needs little justification. Paolini enjoyed an outstanding 2025 campaign, reaching two WTA 1000 finals and qualifying for the season-ending WTA Finals. 

Her Australian Open record has also improved steadily. After finally getting past the first round in 2024 and reaching the fourth round, she followed it up with a third-round showing in 2025, while her biggest major success came with runner-up finishes at Roland-Garros and Wimbledon in 2024.

Category Details
Nationality Italy
Age 30 (4 January 1996)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 7
Career High 4 (28 October 2024)
Elo Ranking 7 (Rating: 2013)

Verdict

Sasnovich may look to unsettle the rhythm by playing freely, but Paolini’s current form gives her a clear advantage. If the Italian maintains her early-season level, she should have enough control and consistency to seal the win.

Best Bet1: Paolini 2-1 Correct Score @31/10 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
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18 Jan 2026

Aliaksandra Sasnovich v Jasmine Paolini

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