Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari Betting Tips & Live Stream – Paolini Can Make Her Momentum Count at Wimbledon
Jasmine Paolini and Maria Sakkari are set for a closely-matched clash at Wimbledon. Despite recent struggles, Paolini's consistent performance in Grand Slam third rounds and her straight-set win over Golubic point to growing momentum. Sakkari, though she leads their head-to-head 3-2, has failed to advance beyond the third round at Wimbledon in five attempts and is on a five-match losing streak at this stage in majors. The edge goes to Paolini as she looks better placed to progress.
- Paolini holds a 5-3 Grand Slam 3rd round record; Sakkari is 5-13
- Sakkari has not passed the 3rd round at Wimbledon in five tries
- Paolini's recent straight-set win and experience give her a slight edge
Jasmine Paolini's stronger record at this stage of Grand Slams gives her the edge over Maria Sakkari, although both players are still searching for consistency after difficult recent months.
Paolini Looks To Build On Her Momentum
- Paolini holds a 5–3 record in third-round Grand Slam matches.
- She owns a 12–11 record against players outside the Top 20 in 2026.
- Sakkari has not won a third-round Grand Slam match since 2022.
- She has a 1–10 career record against Top 20 players on grass.
HTH - Maria Sakkari leads 3-2
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Doha | Hard | 2R | Maria Sakkari | 6–4, 6–2 |
| 2025 | Cincinnati WTA | Hard | 2R | Jasmine Paolini | 7–6(2), 7–6(5) |
| 2025 | Madrid WTA | Clay | 3R | Maria Sakkari | 6–2, 6–1 |
| 2024 | Dubai | Hard | R16 | Jasmine Paolini | 6–4, 6–2 |
| 2021 | French Open | Clay | 2R | Maria Sakkari | 5–2 (ret.) |
Italian Eyes Another Deep Run
Jasmine Paolini moved into the third round at Wimbledon after defeating Viktorija Golubic in straight sets, 7-6, 6-4. She trailed by a break three times in the opening set but responded on each occasion before taking the tiebreak, which proved to be the turning point in the match.
This is the first time Paolini has won multiple main-draw matches at a tournament since March, highlighting her struggles to build momentum in recent months.
The Italian had registered multiple main-draw wins only three times before Wimbledon this season, reaching the semifinals in Merida, the third round at the Australian Open, and the fourth round at Indian Wells. However, she struggled throughout the clay swing and dropped significant ranking points, slipping outside the top 10.
Paolini has played only one third-round match at Wimbledon, converting it into a runner-up finish in 2024. Overall, she owns a 5-3 career record in third-round matches at Grand Slams.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Italy |
| Age | 30 (Born 4 January 1996) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 17 |
| Career High | 4 (28 October 2024) |
| Elo Ranking | 20 (Rating: 1905) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 4 |
Greek Continues Fighting Spirit
Maria Sakkari survived a gruelling three-set battle against Kamilla Rakhimova, 6-3, 0-6, 7-6, to reach the third round at Wimbledon. She trailed by a break twice in the deciding set before raising her level in the crucial moments to complete the comeback.
This is the fifth time Sakkari has reached the third round at Wimbledon, but she has never progressed beyond this stage, losing all four of her previous matches.
The Greek reached the semifinals in Doha earlier this season but failed to build on that result, suffering a series of early-round exits. Her only other notable result came at Roland Garros, where she reached the third round.
Sakkari heads into this clash with a 5-13 career record in third-round matches at Grand Slams. She has not won a match at this stage since the 2022 Australian Open and is currently on a five-match losing streak in Grand Slam third rounds.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Greece |
| Age | 30 (Born 25 July 1995) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 43 |
| Career High | 3 (21 March 2022) |
| Elo Ranking | 47 (Rating: 1812) |
| Tour-Level Titles | 2 |
Verdict
Both players have struggled significantly in recent months, but Jasmine Paolini's straight-set victory over Viktorija Golubic was an encouraging sign. Coupled with her stronger record in Grand Slam third-round matches and previous success at Wimbledon, the Italian looks better placed to progress.
Jasmine Paolini
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Jasmine Paolini v Maria Sakkari
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