Brisbane Lions vs Carlton AFL Betting Tips - Another Blue day in store for Carlton in Round 9
Brisbane Lions face off against Carlton with momentum on their side, having won five of their last six games and boasting back-to-back 50+ point victories. Carlton, sitting at a disappointing 1-7, continue to struggle with defensive and late-game issues. Key players like Darcy Wilmot and Charlie Cameron are predicted to excel, with Wilmot expected to surpass 25 disposals and Cameron tipped for multiple goals. Given the Lions' dominance at home and Carlton's form slump, a comfortable 40+ point win for Brisbane is forecasted.
- Brisbane Lions are predicted to win by 40+ points over Carlton.
- Darcy Wilmot and Charlie Cameron are expected to be standout performers.
- Carlton continue to falter with a 1-7 record and defensive issues.
- Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Preview
- Head to Head Stats
- Brisbane Lions Form - Lions Back To Their Best
- Carlton Form - Blues Sit At 1-7
- Brisbane Lions Team News
- Carlton Team News
Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Preview
Carlton have defensive problems coupled with a lack of firepower to keep pace with the free-scoring Brisbane Lions. This could be a blowout victory for the hosts with a 40+ point margi predicted.
- Brisbane have won their past two matches by more than 50 points.
- Carlton come in with a 1-7 win-loss record
- Charlie Cameron has kicked 17 goals in his past seven matches against the Blues
- Darcy Wilmot had 32 disposals last weekend and had 31 the last time he played Carlton
Head to Head Stats
Brisbane have won seven of the past eight head to heads with the only loss a one-point margin in the Opening Round of 2024.
The Lions avenged that defeat later in the season with a 28-point win in the Elimination Final, while were 37-point winners in the only meeting in 2025, with that coming at Marvel Stadium.
Notable player performances in the recent head to head meetings have come from;
- Sam Walsh (Blues)- 25+ disposals in his seven matches against the Lions, with 30+ in four of those
- Charlie Cameron (Lions)- 2+ goals in his past seven against Carlton for a total of 17
- Ben Ainsworth (Blues)- at least one goal in nine of his past 10 against the Lions for a total of 12
- Darcy Wilmot (Lions)- 31 disposals the last time he played the Blues
Brisbane Lions Form - Lions Back To Their Best
After a slow and injury-affected start to the season that saw them lose their first two matches, the Lions have since won five of their past six and sit 4th on the ladder with a 5-3 win-loss record.
They were dominant against Essendon at Marvel Stadium when winning by 64 points, following up from their 52-point triumph over Adelaide at the GABBA a week prior to that.
Zac Bailey, Kai Lohmann and Logan Morris all kicked four goals. Bailey has kicked seven in the past fortnight and has produced 2+ and 20+ disposals games in four of his past five.
The Lions head to the GABBA for the fourth time this season and have won two of their three matches at their home ground in 2026.
Carlton Form - Blues Sit At 1-7
Carlton sit at 1-7 and have been in winning positions in a number of their losses, including last weekend when leading St Kilda by eight points at the main break before conceding 11 goals to two after half-time to lose by 39.
That has continued a concerning trends in 2026 where they have simply been unable to find a way to arrest momentum swings within games, piling more pressure on their coach, Michael Voss.
Patrick Cripps had one of his quietest matches in some time with just 14 disposals, while Ollie Florent produced one of his best games since swithching to the Blues with 30 disposals.
Carlton are generating enough opportunities to be competitive, but their inability to take their moments continues to cost them, particularly in high-pressure situations late in games.
Brisbane Lions Team News
Ty Gallop will miss with concussion, while Jarrod Berry and Darcy Gardiner remain on the sidelines. James Tunstill, Tom Doedee and Darragh Joyce are among those with some solid form in the VFL and will come under consideration to be selected.
Carlton Team News
Lachie Cowan and Harry Dean pulled up with issues out of the St Kilda match and will be out to prove their fitness during the week.
George Hewett continues to produce big numbers in the VFL but cannot get a look in, while Lachie Fogarty and Lewis Young are among others with some solid form at that level and are knocking on the door for senior selection.
Verdict
Brisbane are backed to win comfortably by 40+ with Wilmot and Cameron key for the Lions.
Brisbane Lions 40+
Margin
@4/5 - 1 Unit
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Darcy Wilmot 25+
Player Totals- Disposals
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Charlie Cameron 3+
Player Totals- Goals
@6/5 - 1 Unit
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