Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips – Phillies To Split Big NL East Series In MLB
The Philadelphia Phillies are predicted to bounce back against the Atlanta Braves after a recent narrow loss. With a strong home record—winning 8 of their last 10—and starter Jesus Luzardo excelling (2 or fewer earned runs in his past 5 starts), the Phillies have the edge. Despite Atlanta leading the all-time series and winning the last meeting, the Braves have struggled on the road lately. Experts recommend backing the Phillies on the spread and betting under 8 total runs in what could be another closely-fought matchup.
- Phillies have won 8 of last 10 home games; Luzardo in top form
- Braves lead all-time series, but inconsistent on road lately
- Recommended bet: Phillies -1.5; under 8 total runs
- Key Numbers – Can Phillies Make It 9 Wins In 11 Home Games?
- Braves Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting
- Atlanta Braves Form – Last 10 Games
- Philadelphia Phillies Form – Last 10 Games
- Starting Pitchers
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips
Philadelphia are tipped to bounce back from last night’s loss to Atlanta.
The Phillies have been in good form at home despite a couple of defeats in this series, and starter Jesus Luzardo has given up very little over his last few appearances.
Key Numbers – Can Phillies Make It 9 Wins In 11 Home Games?
- Philadelphia Phillies have won 8 of their last 10 home games
- Atlanta Braves have lost 9 of their previous 15 road games
- Philadelphia starter Jesus Luzardo has allowed 2 earned or less in each of his last 5 games
- The two starting pitchers have a combined ERA of 6.74
Braves Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting
- Atlanta Braves lead the all-time series 1341-1224-15
- Atlanta Braves won 5-4 when the two teams last met on September 6
Atlanta Braves Form – Last 10 Games
Atlanta enter the final game of this series having won two of the three meetings so far, while winning seven of their last 10 overall.
| Date | Opposition | W/L | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug-27 | vs Los Angeles Dodgers | W | 1-0 |
| Aug-28 | vs Colorado Rockies | W | 6-4 |
| Aug-29 | vs Colorado Rockies | W | 2-1 |
| Aug-30 | vs Colorado Rockies | W | 3-2 W/O |
| Aug-31 | vs San Francisco Giants | L | 3-7 |
| Sep-01 | at Washington Nationals | L | 5-9 |
| Sep-02 | at Washington Nationals | W | 9-0 |
| Sep-04 | at Philadelphia Phillies | W | 5-2 |
| Sep-05 | at Philadelphia Phillies | L | 2-4 |
| Sep-06 | at Philadelphia Phillies | W | 5-4 |
Philadelphia Phillies Form – Last 10 Games
Philadelphia come into this matchup having won seven of their last 10 games, but having lost three of the previous four.
| Date | Opposition | W/L | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug-26 | at Seattle Mariners | W | 6-0 |
| Aug-28 | at Los Angeles Angels | W | 5-3 |
| Aug-29 | at Los Angeles Angels | W | 4-2 |
| Aug-30 | at Los Angeles Angels | W | 5-2 |
| Aug-31 | at Arizona Diamondbacks | W | 2-1 |
| Sep-01 | at Arizona Diamondbacks | W | 7-1 |
| Sep-02 | at Arizona Diamondbacks | L | 0-1 |
| Sep-04 | vs Atlanta Braves | L | 2-5 |
| Sep-05 | vs Atlanta Braves | W | 4-2 |
| Sep-06 | vs Atlanta Braves | L | 4-5 |
Starting Pitchers
| Player | Team | Record | ERA | Strikeouts | Innings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes | Atlanta Braves | 9-5 | 3.62 | 104 | 131.2 |
| Jesus Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies | 13-5 | 3.02 | 209 | 169.2 |
Verdict
These two teams have traded wins back and forth in this series, and we expect that trend to continue.
Luzardo gets the call here, and he can slow down the Braves bats enough to ensure the Phillies split the series.
Luzardo gets the call here, and he can slow down the Braves bats enough to ensure the Phillies split the series.
Philadelphia -1.5
Line
@5/4 - 4 Units
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Under 8.0
Total Runs
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US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.
During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.
He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.
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