The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves are set for a decisive playoff showdown. Despite Atlanta’s home advantage, Philadelphia enters with strong momentum after a dramatic Game 2 win and will start their ace, Zach Wheeler (14-5, 3.00 ERA). Wheeler previously outperformed Atlanta’s Grant Holmes (10-6, 3.44 ERA) and has a record of silencing Braves’ hitters. With the Phillies having won two of the last three meetings in Atlanta, the analysis favors Philadelphia to win and progress, recommending a Moneyline bet on the Phillies and the total runs to go under 7.5.
Atlanta Braves won the series opener but now find themselves on the back foot after a stunning late show win in Game 2 for Philadelphia Phillies.
With momentum on their side and Zach Wheeler a projected starter, I'm backing the Phillies to win the decider.
Zach Wheeler won as a starter against Atlanta last month
Grant Holmes is 0-2 against Philadelphia this season
Philadelphia Phillies have won 2 of the last 3 meetings in Atlanta
The Under cashed in Zach Wheeler's last game against Atlanta
Head To Head
Atlanta Braves lead the all-time series 1344-1227-15
Philadelphia Phillies won 4-3 when the two teams last met on September 30
Philadelphia Phillies Form
Philadelphia booked their place in the playoffs by finishing second in the NL East with an 88-74 record, and entered the postseason having ended a four-game losing run with back-to-back home wins.
The Phillies were unable to make it three-in-a-row in the opening game of this series, as they were beaten 5-3 in Atlanta, but they bounced back 24 hours later with a 4-3 win over the Braves.
Date
Opposition
W/L
Score
Sep-29
at Atlanta Braves
L
3-5
Sep-30
at Atlanta Braves
W
4-3
Atlanta Braves Form
Atlanta secured their playoff place by finishing top of the NL East with a 94-68 record, but came into the postseason having lost five of their final seven regular season games.
The Braves made a winning start to this series, beating Philadelphia 5-3 in Game 1, only to then drop the second meeting, 4-3..
Date
Opposition
W/L
Score
Sep-29
vs Philadelphia Phillies
W
5-3
Sep-30
vs Philadelphia Phillies
L
3-4
Projected Starting Pitchers
Player
Team
Record
ERA
Strikeouts
Innings
Zach Wheeler
Philadelphia Phillies
14-5
3.00
193
162
Grant Holmes
Atlanta Braves
10-6
3.44
115
151.2
Verdict
Atlanta have home advantage, but Philadelphia have momentum and a starter who kept the Braves bats in check last month.
We are backing the Phillies to complete their comeback and advance in the playoffs.
Best Bet1: Philadelphia Win Moneyline @5/6 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Under 7.5 Total Runs @4/5 at dabble - 2 Units
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US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.
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