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New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Tips & Live Stream - First quarter points the play in NBL

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Ryan Tucker
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Last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026 17:04
New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets features a tip for over 47.5 points in the first quarter, as both teams have excelled early in games—New Zealand winning nine of 12 first quarters and Brisbane seven of 12. Player prop options include Carlin Davison to score 10+ points, with longer odds for 15+, and Sam Mennenga to record 13+ rebounds. The Breakers are adapting to Jackson-Cartwright's absence, while both sides have shown defensive weaknesses, making a high-scoring start likely.
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  • Over 47.5 first-quarter points is tipped for Breakers vs Bullets.
  • Both teams have strong first-quarter records this season.
  • Carlin Davison 10+ points and Sam Mennenga 13+ rebounds are player prop options.
Sam Mennenga
Sam Mennenga rebounds backed (Getty Images)
brand New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Basketball > Australia NBL. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Geo-restrictions apply. You must have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Over 18s only. T&Cs apply.

New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Verdict


Both teams have been making quick starts to their games and this one can follow the same path. I'm backing the two sides to combine and pass the 47.5-point line in the opening quarter.

Carlin Davison points and Sam Mennenga rebounds are the player prop plays.

  • New Zealand have won nine of their 12 first quarters this season.
  • Brisbane have won seven of their 12 first quarters.
  • Carlin Davison has scored 10+ points in four of his last six games.
  • Sam Mennenga has recorded 13+ rebounds three times this season, all with Jackson-Cartwright unavailable.

Head to Head


Brisbane lead the all-time series 30-25 and have dominated recent meetings, winning seven of the last eight against New Zealand. The Bullets won both encounters last season, including an 88-85 victory in February.

New Zealand Breakers Form


New Zealand have lost five consecutive games, falling to 4-8 after a narrow 79-77 defeat against Tasmania last Friday.

The Breakers were competitive throughout but struggled from beyond the arc, making just four of their 23 three-point attempts. Sam Mennenga was outstanding with 29 points and 17 rebounds, while Carlin Davison contributed six points and nine assists.

Jackson-Cartwright's season-ending absence now forces a significant adjustment to New Zealand's offence, with Davison expected to take over the starting point guard responsibilities.

The Breakers are averaging a league-low 89.4 points per game but have been much more competitive defensively, conceding just 89.9 per contest.

Brisbane Bullets Form


Brisbane suffered a heavy 120-92 defeat against Melbourne United on Saturday, dropping to 6-6 for the season.

The Bullets were comprehensively beaten inside, outscored 62-28 in the paint, while Melbourne shot an impressive 65.6% from the field. Lat Mayen led Brisbane with 15 points, with Nate Hinton and Mitch Norton adding 13 each.

Despite that setback, Brisbane have won three of their last five games, including impressive victories over Adelaide and Perth.

The Bullets are averaging 94.9 points per game but continue to struggle defensively, allowing 99.3 points per contest. Their rebounding has also been a concern, with opponents collecting a league-high 46.5 boards per game.

Verdict

Back over 47.5 first-quarter points at 1.95 and Carlin Davison 10+ points, with Davison 15+ points and Sam Mennenga 13+ rebounds at 3.20 as longer-priced selections.

Best Bet1: Over 47.5 1st QTR Total @20/21 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: C Davison 10+ Points @11/20 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Best Bet3: C Davison 15+ Points @27/11 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: S Mennenga 13+ Rebounds @11/5 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Over 47.5
1st QTR Total
@20/21 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
C Davison 10+
Points
@11/20 - 2 Units
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS

18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Bet at Star Sports
C Davison 15+
Points
@27/11 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
S Mennenga 13+
Rebounds
@11/5 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS

18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Bet at Star Sports
ryan-tucker
Ryan Tucker

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert

Ryan is an Australian sports content writer, producing insights and analysis for NRL, AFL and Basketball. He is also our YouTube host and presenter, can be found on Bets.com.au and is also a co-founder of The Sport Cap and The Basketball Fix.

From humble beginnings in Western Sydney growing up playing and refereeing Rugby League to running European wide Australian Rules Football tournaments there is a mountain of experience in between. 

Multiple trips to North America has also deepened the love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.

Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for NRL.

You can find Ryan on Muckrack and LinkedIn.

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