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Albania vs Finland Predictions & Betting Tips - Home Win Backed in the UEFA Nations League

eddy-tora
Editor
Last updated: Tue 10 Nov 2026 12:50
Albania are tipped to win at home against Finland in the UEFA Nations League, with Rey Manaj’s recent scoring form and Albania’s strong home record highlighted as key factors. Albania have won three of their last four Nations League matches and sit top of Group 1, while Manaj has scored 12 goals in his last 15 appearances for club and country. Finland, meanwhile, have failed to score in four of their last six competitive matches, and Albania’s defensive strength further supports the prediction for a home victory in Tirana.
Eddy Tora 1 hour ago
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  • Albania have won 3 of their 4 games in the Nations League
  • They went down to 10 men in an unlucky 2-1 loss in Finland
  • I am backing Rey Manaj to fire the hosts to victory in Tirana
Rey Manaj
Albania’s Rey Manaj has scored 12 goals in his last 15 matches for club and country (Getty)

Albania sit top of Group 1 but can’t afford to slip up here with two games remaining. I think home advantage will be important in this one with Rey Manaj to score first.

Stats


  • Albania have won 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Albania have won 2 of their 3 home matches against Finland.
  • Finland have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 competitive matches.

HTH


Albania and Finland have met on eight occasions, seven of them competitive clashes. Finland lead 5-2 alongside one draw.

Albania Top of Group 1


Albania have been playing well in the Nations League, beating Belarus 2-0 before a 3-0 victory in San Marino.

Rey Manaj opened the scoring early on in Finland before goalkeeper Etrit Berisha was sent off in the 22nd minute. They lost 2-1 despite ending the contest with 1.15-0.56 xG.

Rolando Maran’s side bounced back in Tirana, Kristjan Asllani’s 93rd minute penalty earning a 2-1 victory over San Marino. It was ultimately deserved after registering 70% possession, 26-8 shots and 2.72-0.61 xG.

Squad, Team News & Predicted Line Up


Goalkeepers: Etrit Berisha, Alen Sherri, Mario Dajsinani
Defenders: Mario Mitaj, Elseid Hysaj, Berat Gjimshiti, Naser Aliji, Klisman Cake, Ardian Ismajli, Stavro Pilo, Samuele Sina, Arlind Ajeti, Ysni Ismaili
Midfielders: Feta Fetai, Luis Hasa, Kristjan Asllani, Ernest Muci, Juljan Shehu, Taulant Seferi, Ylber Ramadani, Arber Hoxha, Klevi Qefalija, Qazim Laci
Forwards: Rey Manaj, Myrto Uzuni, Cristian Shpendi, Mirlind Daku

Thomas Strakosha, Adrion Pajaziti and Medon Berisha are injured with Ivan Balliu retiring from international football.

Marash Kumbulla and Anis Mehmeti were not called up, Ysni Ismaili and Feta Fetai in line to make their debuts.

Etrit Berisha is available after suspension and set to return in goal with Mario Dajsinani reverting to the bench.

Albania (3-4-3): Etrit Berisha; Berat Djimsiti, Ardian Ismajli, Mario Mitaj; Elseid Hysaj, Juljan Shehu, Kristjan Asllani, Stavro Pilo; Ernest Muci, Rey Manaj, Arber Hoxha

Finland Falling off the Pace


Finland had a sensational start in the Nations League, winning 7-0 at San Marino where Joel Pohjanpalo hit a hat-trick and Leo Walta scored twice.

Jacob Friis’ side were held to a 0-0 draw by Belarus before a fortunate 2-1 win against Albania after playing against 10 men for the majority of the match.

The Nordic side are coming off a 1-0 defeat to Belarus which was played in Hungary. They conceded in the 1st minute and couldn’t find a way back, ending the contest with 0.65-1.02 xG.

Squad, Team News & Predicted Line Up


Goalkeepers: Lukas Hradecky, Viljami Sinisalo, Lucas Bergstrom
Defenders: Adam Stahl, Tony Miettinen, Juho Lahteenmaki, Miro Tenho, Ryan Mahuta, Robert Ivanov, Ville Koski
Midfielders: Santeri Vaananen, Onni Valakari, Leo Walta, Adam Markhiyev, Anssi Suhonen, Luka Hyrylainen, Fredrik Jensen, Kaan Kairinen
Forwards: Adrian Svanback, Topi Keskinen, Benjamin Kallman, Joel Pohjanpalo, Daniel Hakans, Oliver Antman, Naatan Skytta

Samuli Miettinen, Leo Vaisanen and Matti Peltola were not called up and experienced forward Robin Lod misses out through injury.

Expect Ville Koski, Kaan Kairinen and Joel Pohjanpalo to return to the starting side here.

Finland (4-3-3): Lukas Hradecky; Juho Lahteenmaki, Miro Tenho, Ville Koski, Ryan Mahuta; Leo Walta, Adam Markhiyev, Kaan Kairinen; Onni Valakari, Joel Pohjanpalo, Topi Keskinen

Verdict

Albanian striker Rey Manaj is in fine form for club and country and scored first in Finland last month. I think the trend will continue with the hosts to take all three points.

Best Bet1: Albania Win Full Time Result @13/14 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Rey Manaj Anytime Goalscorer @17/10 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Rey Manaj First Goalscorer @9/2 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Albania Win
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eddy-tora
Eddy Tora

Sports Editor • 15+ Years of Experience, Football & Tennis Betting Specialist

Eddy writes about a number of sports with a strong focus on European football and tennis.

  
You will find him covering big football matches from around Europe and beyond as well as ATP Tour tennis.

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