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Bulgaria vs Iceland Tips & Predictions – Points Shared in the UEFA Nations League

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Vedran Ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026 20:02
Bulgaria are tipped to hold Iceland to a draw in their upcoming match. The selection is based on Bulgaria's improved confidence following their first win under a new coach in early October. While Iceland are considered the favourites, Bulgaria's recent morale boost could help them avoid defeat. The recommendation is for the draw market, taking into account Bulgaria's upward momentum and the challenge they could pose to Iceland.
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  • Bulgaria improved under new coach Atanas Ribarski
  • We are backing them to snatch a point against Iceland
  • Check our full preview for Bulgaria vs Iceland below
Iceland have won 4 of their last 6 fixtures (Getty Images)

Iceland are leading the group, but their recent performance against underdog Estonia was not convincing at all. Bulgaria saw some improvements under new national coach Ribarski, so I think a draw is likely on Friday. 

Key Stats  


  • Bulgaria are winless in 5 of their last 6 matches. 
  • Bulgaria have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 matches against Iceland. 
  • Iceland have drawn 2 of their last 4 matches. 

Balkan Side Lead H2H 


This is going to be the seventh time these nations lock horns. Bulgaria were victorious in four occasions, Iceland claiming just one victory. 

Bulgaria Recovering from a Slow Start 


Bulgaria had a terrible start to the UEFA Nations League, suffering a 2-1 home defeat to Luxembourg, then being held to a goalless draw by underdog Estonia also in front of the home crowd. 

As a result, national coach Aleksandar Dimitrov decided to resign and the Bulgarian FA promoted Atanas Ribarski, a former U19 coach, as his replacement. 

Ribarski's debut was a 3-0 defeat to Iceland in early October, while they finally claimed first victory in the campaign against Luxembourg 2-0 a couple of days later. Kristiyan Balov and Atanas Iliev were the scorers in the first half.  

Iceland Topping the Group 


Iceland are unbeaten after four rounds in the UEFA Nations League C and currently top Group 4 with eight points. 

After starting the campaign with a disappointing 1-1 home draw against Estonia, they claimed back to back victories against Luxembourg 3-0 and Montenegro 3-0. Orri Oskarsson played key role in these, scoring three goals. 

Iceland were tagged favorites in their most recent appearance against Estonia in Tallinn, but were lucky to get away with a goalless draw, the opposition having 1.10-0.57 xG and 3-1 shots on target. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Bulgaria (4-2-3-1) Daniel Naumov; Yoan Stoyanov, Stefan Velkov, Emil Tsenov, Hristiyan Petrov; Ilia Gruev, Andrian Kraev; Martin Minchev, Georgi Rusev, Kristiyan Balov; Atanas Iliev

Bulgaria enter the contest without captain and star winger Kiril Despodov, who remains sidelined as he continues recovering from a long-term injury. Svetoslav Vutsov, Kristian Dimitrov, and Zdravko Dimitrov were not called up.

Iceland (4-4-2) Hakon Valdimarsson; Victor Palsson, Daniel  Gretarsson, Hordur Magnusson, Logi Tomasson; Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Isak Johannesson, Stefan Thordarson, Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson; Andri Gudjohnsen, Orri Oskarsson

The visitors will be without veteran center-back Sverrir Ingi Ingason following his cruciate ligament tear, while attacker Albert Gudmundsson is sidelined with a shoulder injury and winger Mikael Anderson misses out with a physical strain.

Verdict

Bulgaria got their spirits and confidence up after earning the first win under new coach in early October. I will back them to hold favored Iceland to a draw on Friday. 

Best Bet1: BTTS Yes Both Teams to Score @1/1 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Draw Full-Time Result @5/2 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: 1-1 Draw Correct Score @11/2 at bet365 - 1 Unit
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vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic

Sports Editor • 10+ Years Of Experience in Football, Basketball, Handball & Volleyball

Vedran is a passionate sports enthusiast and covers European football, basketball, volleyball and handball.


With a particular love for the English Premier League, he's been writing about sports online for more than a decade since completing a degree in literature and sports journalism.

The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, La Liga, Serie A & Bundesliga), basketball (EuroLeague, NBA & WNBA), Handball and Volleyball.

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