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Italy vs France Tips & Predictions – Stick to Goals in the UEFA Nations League

vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Tue 10 Nov 2026 16:19
Italy face France in the UEFA Nations League, with both teams to score (BTTS) recommended as the main tip. This is based on the fact that both sides have scored in their last six meetings and Italy have netted eight goals in four matches during this campaign. Michael Olise to score anytime is also suggested, as he has already scored four goals in the current UNL season and consistently performs well for his national team.
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  • The first h2h meeting ended without a winner 1-1 in France
  • We are expecting both sides to score on Thursday as well
  • Check our full preview for Italy vs France below
Michael Olise has scored 4 goals in his last 3 matches for France (Getty)

All head to head matches between Italy and France since 2008 have ended with BTTS, so I expect this trend to continue on Thursday.  

Key Stats  


  • Italy have seen BTTS in their last 3 matches. 
  • Italy have seen BTTS in their last 6 matches against France. 
  • Italy have seen BTTS & over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches against France. 
  • France have seen BTTS in their last 2 matches. 
  • Michael Olise has scored 4 goals in his last 3 matches for France. 

116-Year-Old Rivalry 


These nations locked horns 42 times since 1910 and Italy have a 20-13 advantage in terms of victories.  

Azzurri Close to Clinching a Spot in the QF 


Italy are having good results so far in the UEFA Nations League 2026 under Roberto Mancini, securing seven points in four rounds and currently hold second place in Group 1. 

Azzurri started this campaign with a disappointing 2-0 home defeat to Belgium, but then bounced back with a convincing 4-1 victory against Turkey in Izmir with Alessandro Bastoni, Davide Frattesi and Michael Kayode finding the net in the first half, while Francesco Pio Esposito finished the job later.   

They stood their ground against favored France, posting 1.54-1.25 xG to claim well-deserved point in a 1-1 draw, followed by a 3-1 home victory against Turkey in Bologna. 

France Unbeaten so Far Under Zidane 


France failed to impress in Zinedine Zidane's debut in the UNL 2026 first round but collected three points against Turkey with a 1-0 victory in Kocaeli with Kylian Mbappe finding the net right after the break.  

A similar scenario and identical outcome were seen in the second match, also on the road against Belgium where Les Bleus got away with a 1-0 victory thanks to Michael Olise's late goal.    

Les Bleus were tagged favorites in the third round at home against Italy but were held to a 1-1 draw where Olise broke the deadlock but returned to winning ways instantly by taking down Belgium 4-1 (scored all four goals inside the last 15 minutes). 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Italy (4-3-3) Gianluigi Donnarumma; Michael Kayode, Giorgio Scalvini, Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori; Nicolo Barella, Sandro Tonali, Jeremy Doumbia; Valerio Vergara, Francesco Pio Esposito, Sebastiano Esposito

Gianluca Mancini pulled out with a muscular injury, joining Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Giacomo Raspadori, and Moise Kean on the sidelines. Rising talents Mattia Liberali and winger Alphadjo Cisse earned their first senior call-ups.

France (4-3-3) Mike Maignan; Malo Gusto, Jeremy Jacquet, Dayot Upamecano, Adrien Truffert; Rayan Cherki, Aurelien Tchouameni, Adrien Rabiot; Michael Olise, Desire Doue, Kylian Mbappe

Maghnes Akliouche, Ousmane Dembele, Pierre Kalulu, Esteban Lepaul and William Saliba were not available for selection due to injuries.

Verdict

Italy have been very prolific in the UEFA Nations League so far, netting eight goals in four matches. Their last six matches against France have seen BTTS and I expect both of them to find the net on Thursday. 

Another bet worth considering is Michael Olise to score anytime. He always looks inspired when wearing the national jersey, netting four goals already in this UNL campaign. 

Best Bet1: BTTS Yes Both Teams to Score @4/6 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals Both to Score/Total Goals @20/21 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Michael Olise Anytime Goalscorer @19/10 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Michael Olise First Goalscorer @13/2 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
BTTS Yes
Both Teams to Score
@4/6 - 3 Units
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Bet at bet365
BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals
Both to Score/Total Goals
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Bet at Star Sports
Michael Olise
Anytime Goalscorer
@19/10 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
Michael Olise
First Goalscorer
@13/2 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS

18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Bet at Star Sports
vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic

Sports Editor • 10+ Years Of Experience in Football, Basketball, Handball & Volleyball

Vedran is a passionate sports enthusiast and covers European football, basketball, volleyball and handball.


With a particular love for the English Premier League, he's been writing about sports online for more than a decade since completing a degree in literature and sports journalism.

The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, La Liga, Serie A & Bundesliga), basketball (EuroLeague, NBA & WNBA), Handball and Volleyball.

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