Canada vs Guatemala Predictions & Tips - Canada to Claim High-Scoring Nations League Win
Canada host Guatemala at BMO Field in the CONCACAF Nations League quarter-final second leg, holding a 3-2 aggregate lead after a lively first leg. The main tip is for a high-scoring home win with at least three goals, supported by both teams' recent records: Canada have seen over 2.5 goals in four of their last five competitive matches, and Guatemala in six of their last eight internationals. With Guatemala needing a win to progress, an open contest is likely. Injuries affect Canada, but their attacking edge remains.
- Canada face Guatemala in the CONCACAF Nations League quarter-finals
- Home win/over 2.5 goals tipped at BMO Field in Monday's second leg
- Get our Canada vs Guatemala predictions for the Nations League
- Canada vs Guatemala Predictions
- High-Scoring Home Win Tipped in Toronto
- Canada Lead Guatemala in Head-to-Head
- Canada Survive Late Scare in Guatemala
- Guatemala Show Fight in First-Leg Defeat
- Canada vs Guatemala Team News
Canada vs Guatemala Predictions
Canada face Guatemala at BMO Field in Toronto in Monday's CONCACAF Nations League quarter-final second leg.
Jesse Marsch's side take a 3-2 aggregate advantage into the return meeting after an entertaining first-leg last week.
I expect another high-scoring home win with at least three goals likely in Toronto.
High-Scoring Home Win Tipped in Toronto
- Canada have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches (competitive fixtures)
- Canada won 4 of their last 6 matches
- Guatemala have seen over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 internationals
- Guatemala lost 6 of their 9 matches
Canada Lead Guatemala in Head-to-Head
Canada and Guatemala have met four times since 2020. Canada claimed two wins while two games finished level after 90 minutes.
Canada Survive Late Scare in Guatemala
Canada took control of their CONCACAF Nations League quarter-final with a 3-2 away victory against Guatemala in Friday's first leg.
Tani Oluwaseyi broke the deadlock midway through the first half before Liam Millar doubled the advantage. David added a third in first-half stoppage time, leaving the visitors firmly in control at the interval.
Guatemala fought back after the break, with Oscar Santis heading home early in the second period. Luc de Fougerolles’ own goal in stoppage time gave the hosts some hope ahead of Monday's return leg in Toronto.
Canada were good value for their victory, enjoying 58% possession and registering 17 shots to Guatemala's nine.
The visitors also created six big chances compared to the hosts' three, while the final xG totals (0.77-1.90) reflected their attacking superiority.
Since a superb run to the World Cup round of sixteen in the summer, Canada won two friendlies against Chile and Peru before a narrow defeat against old rivals USA.
Marsch's side now require only a draw to advance to the Nations League semi-finals.
The Canadians reached the final of this competition in 2023, eventually losing 2-0 against the USA.
Guatemala Show Fight in First-Leg Defeat
Guatemala head to Toronto with renewed optimism following an improved second-half performance in Friday's 3-2 home defeat against Canada.
Despite sitting more than 70 places below the Canadians in the FIFA rankings, Luis Fernando Tena's side produced a spirited display at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Guatemala had secured their place in the quarter-finals after finishing top of League A, Group B.
Luis Fernando Tena's side picked up a convincing 6-0 win against El Salvador in September after an entertaining 3-2 defeat in Jamaica.
Los Chapines had lost four consecutive internationals before enjoying an upturn in form in the Nations League this autumn.
Guatemala will take confidence from last year's Gold Cup quarter-final, when they held Canada to a 1-1 draw before securing a memorable victory on penalties.
Canada vs Guatemala Team News
Canada Squad
Goalkeepers: Dayne St. Clair, Maxime Crepeau, Owen Goodman.
Defenders: Jovan Ivanisevic, Ralph Priso, Luc de Fougerolles, Joel Waterman, Niko Sigur, Zorhan Bassong, Richard Chukwu, Alphonso Davies (captain), Richie Laryea.
Midfielders: Mathieu Choiniere, Liam Millar, Nathan Saliba, Tajon Buchanan, Theo Corbeanu, Kevin Khan.
Forwards: Daniel Jebbison, Promise David, Jonathan David, Tani Oluwaseyi, Jacen Russell-Rowe, Charles-Andreas Brym.
Head coach Marsch will be forced into at least one change to his first XI this week.
Canada captain Alphonso Davies has been ruled out of Monday's second leg after suffering a lower-body injury early in Guatemala City.
Stephen Eustaquio, Cyle Larin, Derek Cornelius, Alfie Jones and Alistair Johnston remain sidelined for the injury-hit hosts.
Richie Laryea and Nathan Saliba are among those in contention to earn first XI recalls this week.
Marsch will be forced to watch from the stands after being sent off in Saturday's first-leg contest.
Guatemala Squad
Goalkeepers: Kenderson Navarro, Luis Moran.
Defenders: Jose Carlos Pinto (captain), Jose Morales, Jose Ardon, Allen Yanes, Carlos Aguilar, Marcelo Hernandez.
Midfielders: Oscar Castellanos, Stheven Robles, Jonathan Franco, Jose Rosales, Kevin Ramirez, Matt Evans, Diego Fernandez.
Forwards: Oscar Santis, Darwin Lom, Olger Escobar, Rudy Munoz, Arquimides Ordonez, Daniel Mendez.
Guatemala head coach Luis Fernando Tena is expected to consider changes following Friday's defeat.
Matthew Evans is set to come into the first XI after providing an assist in his second-half substitute appearance at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Verdict
Guatemala must win to have any chance of progressing, which should lead to an open, high-scoring contest in Toronto.
I'm backing Canada to win, with at least three goals scored.
I'm backing Canada to win, with at least three goals scored.
Canada/Over 2.5
Result/Total Goals
@4/7 - 4 Units
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A huge fan of the goal markets, he specialises in BTTS and over 2.5 goal picks from the MLS to the Bundesliga and beyond.
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