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Canada vs Qatar Betting Tips & Predictions – Home Advantage at the World Cup 2026

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Mon 15 Jun 2026 10:40
After a strong showing in the opening round, Canada is favored to defeat Qatar and claim three vital points in front of their home fans. The team outperformed Qatar and is expected to continue their momentum with determined play, leveraging the energy of the home crowd for a decisive result.
Vedran Ostojic 2 hours ago
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  • Canada looked better than Qatar in the opening round
  • We are backing the Reds to win in Vancouver
  • Check our full Canada vs Qatar preview below
Cyle Larin scored an equalizer against Bosnia & Herzegovina (Getty)

Even though they were heavily outplayed by Switzerland, Qatar somehow managed to pick up a point. I don’t think they will be lucky two times in a row, so back Canada to claim important points here. 

Key Stats  


  • Canada have won to nil in 3 of their last 7 matches. 
  • Canada beat Qatar 2-0 in their previous h2h match. 
  • Qatar have lost 4 of their last 7 matches. 

One Previous Meeting 


Canada and Qatar locked horns in a friendly match in September 2022. 

Canada Showed Character in the Opener 


Canada were favorites in their opening World Cup 2026 match against Bosnia & Herzegovina in Toronto but had to settle for a 1-1 draw, which was a fair outcome. 

They had been trailing since the 21st minute and finally found an equalizer through Cyle Larin in the 78th minute, just two minutes after he came on as a substitute. The Reds ended the match with 1.23-0.98 expected goals, 61% possession, and a 4-3 advantage in shots on target. 

Canada recorded solid results in their final pre-tournament friendlies earlier this month, beating Uzbekistan 2-0 (with Jayden Nelson and Jonathan Osorio on target) before drawing 1-1 with Republic of Ireland. 

Qatar Struggling for Months 


Qatar were fortunate to avoid defeat in their opening match against Switzerland, scoring a stoppage-time equalizer to salvage a 1-1 draw thanks to Miro Muheim’s own goal in the 95th minute. 

That goal came despite a largely passive display, with Julen Lopetegui’s side ending the match with just 0.60 expected goals compared to Switzerland’s 3.20, only 32% possession, and a 6-26 in total shots. 

Qatar’s results in 2026 have been disappointing, with the team now winless for 10 months. In late May, they lost a friendly 1-0 to Republic of Ireland despite playing against 10 men for most of the match after an early red card, before recording a goalless draw against minnows El Salvador in Los Angeles. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Canada (4-4-2) Maxime Crepeau; Alistair Johnston, Luc de Fougerolles, Derek Cornelius, Richie Laryea; Tajon Buchanan, Stephen Eustaquio, Ismael Kone, Liam Millar; Cyle Larin, Tani Oluwaseyi

Jonathan David is likely to start on bench after underwhelming performance in the opening round, Cyle Larin taking his place after netting an equalizer. Alphonso Davies is still struggling with hamstring injury and could miss this match as well.

Qatar (4-3-3) Mahmoud Abunada; Ayoub Al Oui, Pedro Miguel, Boualem Khoukhi, Homam Ahmed; Jassem Gaber, Ahmed Fathy, Karim Boudiaf; Edmilson Junior, Almoez Ali, Akram Afif

Qatar have no reported injuries ahead of this match. Winger Edmilson Junior was the most dangerous player against Switzerland, recording two shots.

Verdict

Canada looked much better than Qatar in the opening round and I will back them to claim three huge points in front of the home crowd without conceding. 

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