Chelsea vs Benfica Predictions & Betting Tips - BTTS in José Mourinho's return to Stamford Bridge
Chelsea host Benfica in a highly anticipated Champions League tie with both sides struggling defensively—a pattern reinforced by recent histories of goals at both ends (BTTS in most recent matches). Chelsea’s form has dipped with losses and disciplinary challenges, while Benfica are adapting under new boss José Mourinho after a rocky spell. Key player Enzo Fernandez's scoring prowess adds value in goalscorer markets. The main betting tip is BTTS (Both Teams To Score), reflecting each side’s leaky defence and attacking talents.
- Benfica have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 matches
- Chelsea are struggling to keep clean sheets
- We are tipping BTTS in José Mourinho’s return to Stamford Bridge
Chelsea vs Benfica Preview
Chelsea and Benfica come into this contest in poor form, both teams unable to keep clean sheets. I am avoiding the win market here and backing BTTS, value on Enzo Fernandez scoring against his former club.
- Chelsea vs Benfica Preview
- Stats
- HTH
- Chelsea Form
- Benfica Form
- Probable Lineups & Team News
Stats
- Chelsea have lost 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Chelsea have seen BTTS in their last 5 matches.
- Chelsea’s Enzo Fernandez has scored 3 goals in his last 7 matches.
- Chelsea have seen BTTS in their last 3 matches against Benfica.
- Benfica have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 matches.
HTH
Chelsea have a 3-0 advantage against Benfica alongside one draw. The stalemate came recently at the FIFA Club World Cup where the Blues won 4-1 in extra time.
| Competition | Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA Club World Cup | 28.06.2025 | Benfica | 1:4 AET | Chelsea |
| UEFA Europa League | 15.05.2013 | Benfica | 1:2 | Chelsea |
| UEFA Champions League | 04.04.2012 | Chelsea | 2:1 | Benfica |
| UEFA Champions League | 27.03.2012 | Benfica | 0:1 | Chelsea |
Chelsea Form
Chelsea went unbeaten in their opening four Premier League games but the wheels have fallen off in recent weeks. The slide began in the Champions League where they lost 3-1 at Bayern Munich.
Enzo Maresca’s side returned to the EPL with a 2-1 loss at Manchester United where they played with 10 men for 40 minutes. They left Old Trafford with one shot on target.
The Blues won 2-1 at Lincoln City in the League Cup, falling behind against the League One club before goals to Tyrique George and Facundo Buonanotte turned it around.
Chelsea took the lead against Brighton on Saturday, Enzo Fernandez finding the net before Trevoh Chalobah was sent off shortly after half-time. They conceded three late goals to go down 3-1, slipping to eighth on the table.
Benfica Form
Benfica’s defence was solid as a rock to start the season, keeping seven consecutive clean sheets. The run came to an end after a 2-1 win at Alverca which was followed by a disappointing 1-1 draw against Santa Clara.
The Eagles suffered a shock 3-2 defeat to Qarabag in the Champions League which saw Bruno Lage sacked. José Mourinho became the new manager, his first game in charge ending in a 3-0 win at AVS.
Mourinho’s side have done it tough since, a 1-1 draw against Rio Ave coming after Heorhii Sudakov opened the scoring in the 86th minute.
Benfica were outplayed against Gil Vicente on Friday but managed to secure a 2-1 victory. They fell behind early before Vangelis Pavlidis bagged a brace, ending the contest with 1.27-1.65 xG.
Probable Lineups & Team News
Chelsea (4-2-3-1) Robert Sanchez; Malo Gusto, Trevoh Chalobah, Joshua Acheampong, Marc Cucurella; Enzo Fernandez, Moises Caicedo; Estevao, Facundo Buonanotte, Pedro Neto; Joao Pedro
Centre-backs Tosin Adarabioyo, Levi Colwill and Wesley Fofana are out but Trevoh Chalobah is available after a domestic suspension.
Dario Essugo, Cole Palmer and Liam Delap are injured and Mykhaylo Mudryk remains unavailable due to a doping suspension.
Benfica (4-2-3-1) Anatoliy Trubin; Amar Dedic, Nicolas Otamendi, Antonio Silva, Samuel Dahl; Richard Rios, Enzo Barrenechea; Dodi Lukebakio, Georgiy Sudakov, Andreas Schjelderup; Vangelis Pavlidis
Alexander Bah, Manu Silva and Bruma remain out injured. Gianluca Prestianni is representing Argentina at the U20 World Cup.
Verdict
Chelsea and Benfica can’t keep clean sheets so BTTS is my best bet. Enzo Fernandez has scored in his previous two appearances at Stamford Bridge and can score against his former club.
BTTS Yes
BTTS
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Enzo Fernandez
Anytime Goalscorer
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Enzo Fernandez
First Goalscorer
@12/1 - 1 Unit
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