2026-27 English Premier League Top Goalscorer Odds & Analysis - Can Anyone Challenge Erling Haaland?
Erling Haaland is a strong favourite to secure the 2026-27 Premier League Golden Boot after dominating the scoring charts in recent seasons. Bookmakers have set his odds at a short 1.67, reflecting his lethal form and role at Manchester City. While Alexander Isak and Igor Thiago are also in the mix, João Pedro is recommended as a value pick. With Chelsea not competing in European tournaments and Xabi Alonso at the helm, Pedro is poised for a breakthrough campaign and consistent minutes up front.
- Erling Haaland is the strong favourite for the 2026-27 EPL Golden Boot
- Bookmakers see Haaland as nearly unstoppable unless injury intervenes
- Challengers include Alexander Isak, Igor Thiago, João Pedro & Viktor Gyokeres
The battle for the English Premier League golden boot award appears to be a one horse race for the 2026-27 season.
Erling Haaland has won three of the previous four top scorer titles and is a short priced favourite to claim the prize once again.
The only thing that is likely to stop Manchester City's star striker is an injury. Haaland is arguably the best forward in world football and a complete nightmare for opposing defenders.
Let's take a look at the betting market for the upcoming campaign and see who is most likely to challenge the Norwegian hitman.
2026-27 English Premier League Top Goalscorer Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Erling Haaland |
1.67 |
| Alexander Isak |
10.00 |
| Igor Thiago |
12.00 |
| Joao Pedro |
15.00 |
| Viktor Gyokeres |
17.00 |
| Ollie Watkins |
17.00 |
| Benjamin Sesko |
21.00 |
| Antoine Semenyo |
26.00 |
| Kai Havertz |
29.00 |
| Dominic Solanke |
34.00 |
| Cole Palmer |
41.00 |
| Bryan Mbeumo |
41.00 |
| Yoane Wissa |
41.00 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin |
51.00 |
| Bruno Fernandes |
51.00 |
| Morgan Rogers |
51.00 |
| Nick Woltemade |
51.00 |
| Danny Welbeck |
51.00 |
Erling Haaland (Manchester City)
It comes as no surprise that Erling Haaland opens as the undisputed favrourite for the Golden Boot. The Norwegian has redefined goalscoring expectations in England, scoring 112 goals in 132 Premier League appearances for Manchester City.
The 1.95m giant is blessed with physicality, speed and can score in almost any situation, often conjuring up goals out of nothing. After scoring seven goals in five appearances for Norway at the 2026 World Cup, he will start the season full of confidence under new boss Enzo Maresca.
Haaland takes penalties and plays for the most dominant attacking team in the competition. Man City scoring a league high 77 goals last season, six more than Arsenal. Unless injuries bring him down, he remains the rightful favourite to claim the award once again.
Alexander Isak (Liverpool)
Isak joined Liverpool on deadline day in September 2025 in a blockbuster £125 million transfer from Newcastle. After a season hindered by injuries, he will be hoping to recapture the form that saw him score 23 goals in the 2024-25 campaign, one more than Haaland.
With fellow Reds striker Hugo Ekitiké recovering from a serious achilles injury and not expected back until early 2027, Isak will be Andoni Iraola's primary target man. The Swede represents an outside chance to challenge Haaland.
Igor Thiago (Brentford)
Brentford's towering and highly physical focal point scored 22 goals last season, five behind Haaland. Thiago is blessed with exceptional aerial power, a relentless work rate and often bullies Premier League defenders who can't cope with his movement in the box.
Keith Andrews' tactical setup is designed to feed a high volume of crosses and direct passes to Thiago. The Brazilian scored 40% of Brentford's 55 goals last season and offers some value for bettors opposing Haaland.
João Pedro (Chelsea)
João Pedro has quietly turned into one of the Premier League's most dependable finishers when presented with opportunities to score. His knack of arriving late into the penalty area makes him a constant goal threat.
Xabi Alonso won't have to worry about European competitions this season which will give the new manager plenty of time to work on training and tactics. Pedro will be at the forefront and should improve on the 15 goals he scored last season.
Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)
Gyökeres took some time to find his feet in London after two exceptional seasons at Sporting Clube de Portugal. He scored nine times in his final 15 Premier League appearances to finish the campaign on 14 goals.
The Swedish striker has proven he can shoulder the burden of being a team’s primary source of goals. The main concern is minutes, Kai Havertz often taking his starting spot with Mikel Arteta managing the minutes as Arsenal compete on multiple fronts.
Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)
Ollie Watkins continues to be one of the most reliable and durable forwards in English football. He scored 16 Premier League goals last season, the fourth straight campaign with 15 or more.
Under Unai Emery’s watchful eye, Watkins utilises his pace, intelligent runs and composure to make it 91 goals in 221 EPL appearances.
Durability and minutes are half the battle in the golden boot race, and Watkins rarely misses a match.
Verdict
The bookmakers are taking few chances with Erling Haaland deservedly priced as a formidable favourite. Alexander Isak is likely to have some admirers but I think the best option outside Haaland is João Pedro.
Chelsea have no European football to contend with which should mean Pedro gets plenty of minutes up front. With Xabi Alonso taking over as manager, we could see a sharp upturn in the Blues' form which will benefit the Brazilian striker.
Erling Haaland
Top Goalscorer
@2/3 - 6 Units
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João Pedro
Top Goalscorer
@14/1 - 1 Unit
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