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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Tips & Predictions - Watkins to Score in the Premier League

alex-waite
Alex Waite
Editor
Last updated: Wed 13 May 2026 15:27
Ollie Watkins has established himself as a regular goal-scorer, particularly at Villa Park. With both Aston Villa and Liverpool known for defensive lapses, this match looks set for plenty of goals. Recommended bets include both teams to score & over 2.5 goals markets and backing Watkins for one or more goals. Specifically, options like BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals at 1.75 odds, Over 2.5 Goals at 2.43, Watkins to score at 2.75, and Watkins to score twice at 7 offer intriguing value for punters.
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Alex Waite 13 May 2026
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  • Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins has scored in back-to-back matches
  • Liverpool haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last 8 away games
  • Watkins can find the net in a Premier League high scorer
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Aston Villa
Aston Villa's Ollie Watkins has scored 5 goals in his last 5 games (Getty)

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Preview


Aston Villa and Liverpool have seen a lot of goals at both ends recently. Ollie Watkins is in top form for the Villans and he can find the net in a high-scoring Premier League encounter.

Key Stats - Watkins in Form at Villa Park


  • Aston Villa have seen over 3.5 goals in their last 2 matches.
  • Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins has scored 5 goals in his last 5 home games.
  • Liverpool have seen BTTS in 4 consecutive matches. 

2025/26 Premier LeagueAston VillaLiverpool
Current Position5th4th
Wins1717
Draws88
Losses1111
Goals Scored (pg)50 (1.39)60 (1.67)
Goals Conceded (pg)46 (1.28)48 (1.33)


H2H 


Liverpool have a 104-59 advantage against Aston Villa, alongside 43 draws. 

Aston Villa Holding on in the Top 5 Race


Aston Villa have a four-point cushion inside the Premier League's top five. Unai Emery’s side are in patchy league form, winning once in their last five games. 

The Birmingham outfit's last league win was a 4-3 home triumph against Sunderland, where Watkins scored twice. Villa then lost back-to-back league games at Fulham 1-0 and against Tottenham at home 2-1. 

The Villans hit back and reached the Europa League final after thrashing Nottingham Forest 4-0. Watkins scored again and Emery's side had 2.79 XG.

Villa couldn't carry their winning form into the Premier League and drew 2-2 at Burnley. Ross Barkley and Watkins were on the scoresheet and the Villans had 18 shots. 

Liverpool Are Poor at the Back


Arne Slot’s Liverpool are fourth in the Premier League and are level on 59 points with Aston Villa. 

The Reds have struggled on the road recently, losing five of their last six and conceding 13. Liverpool lost four away matches in a row before a 2-1 win at Everton. 

The Merseyside outfit followed the Merseyside derby victory with a 3-2 defeat at Man United, allowing 2.35 XG.

Liverpool's inconsistent run continued on Saturday after a 1-1 home draw with struggling Chelsea. Ryan Gravenberch scored in the sixth minute and the Reds conceded the equaliser before half time. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Aston Villa (3-4-2-1): Emiliano Martinez; Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne; Lamare Bogarde, Youri Tielemans; John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia; Ollie Watkins

Attacker Alysson is ruled out with a groin issue. Midfield pair Boubacar Kamara and Amadou Onana are also unavailable due to injury. 

Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Giorgi Mamardashvili; Curtis Jones, Joe Gomez, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez; Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister; Cody Gakpo, Dominik Szoboszlai, Rio Ngumoha; Alexander Isak

Defenders Conor Bradley and Giovanni Leoni, forward Hugo Ekitike and midfielder Wataru Endo are out with long-term injuries. 

Goalkeeper Alisson, defender Ibrahima Konate, forward Mohamed Salah and midfielder Florian Wirtz could return on Friday. 

Arne Slot was hopeful over Salah’s recovery from a hamstring problem and said, “Mo also hasn't trained with us yet, but is also getting very, very close to training with us.”

Verdict

Ollie Watkins is a consistent goal threat and often scores at Villa Park. Liverpool are seriously leaky in the road and Watkins to score and Premier League goals are the best bets.

Best Bet1: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals BTTS & Total Goals @3/4 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 3.5 Goals Total Goals @10/7 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Ollie Watkins Anytime Goalscorer @7/4 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Ollie Watkins First Goalscorer @6/1 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS & Total Goals
@3/4 - 2 Units
£30 Free Bet
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Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets
Over 3.5 Goals
Total Goals
@10/7 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
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Bet at bet365
Ollie Watkins
Anytime Goalscorer
@7/4 - 2 Units
Bet £20 Get £10
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Bet at Star Sports
Ollie Watkins
First Goalscorer
@6/1 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
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Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

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