Burnley vs Aston Villa Tips & Predictions - Villa Victory Tipped in the Premier League
Aston Villa are strong favorites in their clash against already-relegated Burnley at Turf Moor. With plenty of quality in their squad and the urgent need for points to strengthen their top-five Premier League aspirations, the Villans are recommended for a comfortable win. Betting odds for an Aston Villa victory stand at 1.61, offering good value for 2-unit stakes. Villa’s motivation and superior form could see them dominate Burnley, making them a smart pick for this round.
- Burnley haven’t won in their last 10 games
- Aston Villa need points for their top 5 push
- Villa can secure a Premier League away win
Burnley vs Aston Villa Preview
Burnley are on a long winless run and the Clarets concede a lot of goals. Aston Villa returned to winning ways on Thursday and can build momentum towards their Premier League top-five challenge.
- Burnley vs Aston Villa Preview
- 5 Burnley Defeats in a Row
- H2H - Villain Have the Edge
- Burnley Are Often Outplayed in the EPL
- Aston Villa Targeting a Top 5 Spot
- Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News
5 Burnley Defeats in a Row
- Burnley have lost 5 consecutive matches.
- Burnley have lost their last 3 games against Aston Villa.
- Aston Villa have won 6 of their last 10 games.
| 2025/26 Premier League | Burnley | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Current Position | 19th | 5th |
| Wins | 4 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 23 | 11 |
| Goals Scored (pg) | 35 (1.00) | 48 (1.37) |
| Goals Conceded (pg) | 71 (2.02) | 44 (1.25) |
H2H - Villans Have the Edge
Aston Villa have a 55-41 advantage against Burnley, alongside 29 draws.
Burnley Are Often Outplayed in the EPL
Burnley are one of the most out-of-form Premier League teams, taking just two points from their last nine games. The club sacked former boss Scott Parker and replaced him with Michael Jackson after poor recent form.
The Clarets are on a five-match losing streak, conceding 13 goals and scoring three. Burnley have also lost their last two at home against Brighton 2-0 and Man City 1-0, and allowed over 1.93 in each game.
The Lancashire side's losing run continued following a 3-1 away defeat against Leeds. Jackson's side trailed 3-0, were outplayed with 0.57-1.64 and Loum Tchaouna scored a late consolation.
Aston Villa Targeting a Top 5 Spot
Aston Villa are inside the Champions League qualification spots with a four-point cushion over sixth-placed Bournemouth.
The Villans were on a six-match unbeaten run in all competitions, including five victories. Villa beat West Ham 2-0 and Sunderland 4-3 in the Premier League during that period.
Unai Emery’s side couldn't maintain their strong form and fell to three consecutive defeats, each by a one-goal margin.
The Midlands outfit bounced back with a big 4-0 Europa League semi-final triumph against Nottingham Forest. Ollie Watkins, Emiliano Buendia and John McGinn scored and Villa dominated with 2.48 XG and 10 shots on target.
Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News
Burnley (3-4-2-1): Martin Dubravka; Kyle Walker, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Quilindschy Hartman; Loum Tchaouna, Josh Laurent, James Ward-Prowse, Jaidon Anthony; Zian Flemming
Axel Tuanzebe is doubtful with a calf problem. Midfielder Josh Cullen and defenders Connor Roberts and Jordan Beyer are sidelined with long-term injuries.
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez; Matty Cash, Victor Lindelof, Tyrone Mings, Ian Maatsen; Lamare Bogarde, Youri Tielemans; Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia; Ollie Watkins
Midfielder Boubacar Kamara is ruled out with a knee injury. Attacker Alysson is also unavailable due to a groin issue.
Amadou Onana is also unlikely to feature at Burnley on Sunday. Unai Emery gave a firm verdict on the midfielder’s fitness before the Forest game and said Onana was "obviously not" available for selection.
Verdict
Aston Villa have enough quality to comfortably defeat relegated Burnley. The Villans need Premier League points in their top-five pursuit and can win at Turf Moor.
Aston Villa Win
Full Time Result
@11/18 - 2 Units
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Alex is a full-time sports writer, covering football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis as well as providing informative betting guides.
Alex was born in London and studied at Swansea University in Wales. He used to work as a teacher in London but changed a few years ago to work as a full-time sports writer. Mostly enjoys watching and writing about football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis.
Also featured at OneFootball, Football Whispers and World Soccer Talk and can be found at LinkedIn, Twitter and Game Day Stories SubStack.
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