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Burnley vs Aston Villa Tips & Predictions - Villa Victory Tipped in the Premier League

alex-waite
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Last updated: Fri 08 May 2026 10:33
Aston Villa are strong favorites in their clash against already-relegated Burnley at Turf Moor. With plenty of quality in their squad and the urgent need for points to strengthen their top-five Premier League aspirations, the Villans are recommended for a comfortable win. Betting odds for an Aston Villa victory stand at 1.61, offering good value for 2-unit stakes. Villa’s motivation and superior form could see them dominate Burnley, making them a smart pick for this round.
Alex Waite 08 May 2026
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  • Burnley haven’t won in their last 10 games
  • Aston Villa need points for their top 5 push
  • Villa can secure a Premier League away win
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Aston Villa
Aston Villa have won 6 of their last 10 games (Getty)

Burnley vs Aston Villa Preview


Burnley are on a long winless run and the Clarets concede a lot of goals. Aston Villa returned to winning ways on Thursday and can build momentum towards their Premier League top-five challenge.

5 Burnley Defeats in a Row


  • Burnley have lost 5 consecutive matches. 
  • Burnley have lost their last 3 games against Aston Villa.
  • Aston Villa have won 6 of their last 10 games. 

2025/26 Premier LeagueBurnleyAston Villa
Current Position19th5th
Wins417
Draws87
Losses2311
Goals Scored (pg)35 (1.00)48 (1.37)
Goals Conceded (pg)71 (2.02)44 (1.25)

H2H - Villans Have the Edge


Aston Villa have a 55-41 advantage against Burnley, alongside 29 draws. 

Burnley Are Often Outplayed in the EPL


Burnley are one of the most out-of-form Premier League teams, taking just two points from their last nine games. The club sacked former boss Scott Parker and replaced him with Michael Jackson after poor recent form.

The Clarets are on a five-match losing streak, conceding 13 goals and scoring three. Burnley have also lost their last two at home against Brighton 2-0 and Man City 1-0, and allowed over 1.93 in each game. 

The Lancashire side's losing run continued following a 3-1 away defeat against Leeds. Jackson's side trailed 3-0, were outplayed with 0.57-1.64 and Loum Tchaouna scored a late consolation. 

Aston Villa Targeting a Top 5 Spot


Aston Villa are inside the Champions League qualification spots with a four-point cushion over sixth-placed Bournemouth. 

The Villans were on a six-match unbeaten run in all competitions, including five victories. Villa beat West Ham 2-0 and Sunderland 4-3 in the Premier League during that period. 

Unai Emery’s side couldn't maintain their strong form and fell to three consecutive defeats, each by a one-goal margin. 

The Midlands outfit bounced back with a big 4-0 Europa League semi-final triumph against Nottingham Forest. Ollie Watkins, Emiliano Buendia and John McGinn scored and Villa dominated with 2.48 XG and 10 shots on target.

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Burnley (3-4-2-1): Martin Dubravka; Kyle Walker, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Quilindschy Hartman; Loum Tchaouna, Josh Laurent, James Ward-Prowse, Jaidon Anthony; Zian Flemming

Axel Tuanzebe is doubtful with a calf problem. Midfielder Josh Cullen and defenders Connor Roberts and Jordan Beyer are sidelined with long-term injuries.

Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez; Matty Cash, Victor Lindelof, Tyrone Mings, Ian Maatsen; Lamare Bogarde, Youri Tielemans; Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia; Ollie Watkins

Midfielder Boubacar Kamara is ruled out with a knee injury.  Attacker Alysson is also unavailable due to a groin issue.

Amadou Onana is also unlikely to feature at Burnley on Sunday. Unai Emery gave a firm verdict on the midfielder’s fitness before the Forest game and said Onana was "obviously not" available for selection. 

Verdict

Aston Villa have enough quality to comfortably defeat relegated Burnley. The Villans need Premier League points in their top-five pursuit and can win at Turf Moor.

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