Morocco vs Burundi Preview & Betting Tips – Goals on the Cards for Atlas Lions
Morocco enter their World Cup warm-up against Burundi with a formidable 21-match unbeaten streak and a reputation as one of Africa’s strongest teams. Ranked 8th in the world and boasting an almost 17-year home unbeaten run, the Atlas Lions are clear favorites as Burundi struggle with consistency on the road despite recent wins against Chad. Expect Morocco’s attacking quality to shine, with predicted lineups featuring Ayoub El Kaabi and Ismael Saibari. The match is likely to yield over 2.5 goals given both teams' recent form.
- Morocco unbeaten in 21 matches, strong at home, and favoured to win.
- Burundi struggle away, despite recent high-scoring wins vs Chad.
- Expect over 2.5 goals, with Morocco’s attack set to shine.
Morocco begin their World Cup preparations aiming to extend a 21-match unbeaten run, while Burundi arrive struggling for form after failing to score in three of their last four away games.
With their dominant home record and attacking quality, the Atlas Lions are expected to secure a comfortable victory in a clash that should produce over 2.5 goals.
Key Stats
- Three of Morocco’s last four friendlies against African sides have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Burundi have let in at least two goals in two of their last three away fixtures.
- Burundi’s last two matches have seen more than two goals scored.
Morocco Hold the Edge
The Atlas Lions have enjoyed complete control in this fixture, winning both previous encounters against Burundi without conceding.
Atlas Lions Primed for Goals at Home
Morocco will play three warm-up friendlies as part of the preparations for the 2026 World Cup, and they come into this encounter unbeaten in 21 straight matches.
The Atlas Lions have grown into one of the world’s strongest national sides, currently ranked eighth in the FIFA standings, while their home dominance stretches back nearly 17 years without defeat.
Mohamed Ouahbi’s men are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws during that period. At least three goals were scored in three of their last four friendlies against African opposition. Their most recent outing also ended in a 2-1 victory over Paraguay, with Bilal El Khannouss and Neil El Aynaoui getting on the scoresheet.
Misfiring Burundi Face Tough Test
Unlike Morocco, Burundi failed to qualify for the World Cup after finishing fifth in their qualifying group.
They head into this encounter off the back of consecutive wins over Chad in the AFCON 2027 preliminary qualifiers, scoring eight goals across both legs.
However, those victories came after a difficult spell that saw the Swallows go five matches without a win. Burundi also failed to score in five straight games during that run and remain poor travellers, losing four of their last five away matches.
Team News & Predicted Lineups
Morocco (4-5-1): Munir El Kajoui; Mohamed Chibi, Soufiane Bouftini, Ismael Baouf, Youssef Belammari; Imran Louza; Ayyoub Bouaddi, Sofiane Boufal, Rayane Bounida, Ismael Saibari; Ayoub El Kaabi.
Ouahbi have named a 27-man Morocco squad for the friendly, although several regular stars are unavailable due to club commitments. Olympiacos forward Ayoub El Kaabi is expected to spearhead the attack, while PSV midfielder Ismael Saibari should feature prominently, and Sofiane Boufal could earn a starting spot after his national team return.
Burundi (5-4-1): Jonathan Nahimana; Christophe Nduwarugira, Omar Moussa, Akbar Muderi, Abdul Karim Nizigiyimana, Marco Weymans; Jean Girumugisha, Mokono Eldhino, Jordi Liongola, Abedi Bigirimana; Bienvenue Kanakimana.
For Burundi, Kanakimana, who scored three times across the two wins over Chad, is set to lead the line. Experienced defenders Abdul Karim Nizigiyimana and Christophe Nduwarugira are also expected to play key roles at the back.
Verdict
Morocco haven’t lost at home in almost 17 years and won both previous encounters against Burundi without conceding. They hit three goals in one of those victories, and I expect another goal fest here.
Over 2.5
Total Goals
@5/8 - 4 Units
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