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South Africa vs Kenya Betting Tips - South Africa to make it three wins from three in AFCON qualifiers

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026 22:03
South Africa are tipped to win to nil against Kenya in their AFCON qualifier, based on Bafana Bafana's three consecutive wins and three clean sheets in their last five matches. Kenya have managed only two wins in their last ten games and have struggled in recent away fixtures, losing three of their last six. South Africa’s strong home record and Kenya’s poor form support the selection, with a 2-0 scoreline suggested. Key squad news includes Thapelo Maseko missing for South Africa and Michael Olunga returning for Kenya.
Ralph Staniforth 2 hours ago
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  • South Africa are tipped to win to nil against Kenya.
  • Bafana Bafana have won their last three matches and kept three clean sheets in their last five.
  • Kenya have only two wins in their last ten matches.
south africa appollis
South Africa to beat Kenya on Friday night in Soweto (Getty Images).

South Africa won their opening two qualifiers and should have little trouble at home on this occasion. With three wins in their last three, we are backing the hosts to win to nil.

Key Stats - Bafana Bafana in Strong Form


South Africa have won their last 3 matches. 
South Africa have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 matches.
Kenya have lost 3 of their last 6 away matches. 
Kenya have lost their last 2 matches vs South Africa.

Both Previous Games have gone to South Africa


South Africa and Kenya have met just twice with Bafana Bafana winning both games 2-0 and 2-1.

South Africa Returning to Top Form


Former coach Hugo Broos oversaw just one win in his final nine matches in charge. Under new coach Pitso Mosimane, it’s three wins from three matches.

Bafana Bafana made it to the round of 32 at the FIFA World Cup, despite losing 2-0 in Mexico in their opener. A 1-1 draw with Czechia was followed by a 1-0 win over South Korea and then a 1-0 loss to Canada.

AFCON qualifying got underway in October with 2-1 win vs Guinea and a 5-0 rout of Eritrea. In an international friendly, South Africa went to Cairo and beat Egypt 1-0 for a famous win.

Two Wins in 10 Matches for Kenya


Kenya have automatic qualification for the 2027 AFCON as co-hosts. In their Group D matches so far, they have one point from two fixtures. 

The Harambee Stars have won just two of their last ten matches in a variety of competitions. In June, they drew 1-1 vs Lesotho and beat ten-man Lesotho 4-0 in two friendlies vs the small nation. 

In October’s extended FIFA break, they opened their AFCON qualifying group with a 1-1 draw against Eritrea before suffering a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Guinea.

Their final match of the international window saw a 0-0 draw away vs Rwanda. It was a steady result despite their opponents being 19 places lower in the FIFA rankings. 

Squads & Team News


South Africa:

Coach Pitso Mosimane is without speedy winger Thapelo Maseko due to injury. Teboho Mokoena is set to start despite needing heavy strapping on an injured knee. 

Mbekezeli Mbokazi is available to start in defence after missing the last FIFA break. Siyanda Ndlovu is pushing for a debut on the right wing. 

Squad in Full:

Goalkeepers: Ronwen Williams (Mamelodi Sundowns), Sipho Chaine (Orlando Pirates), Ricardo Goss (Mamelodi Sundowns).
Defenders: Aubrey Modiba (Mamelodi Sundowns), Samukele Kabini (Molde, Norway), Fawaaz Basadien (Mamelodi Sundowns), Thapelo Morena (Mamelodi Sundowns), Thabang Matuludi (Mamelodi Sundowns), Olwethu Makhanya (Rangers, Scotland), Ime Okon (Hannover 96, Germany), Lebone Seema (Orlando Pirates), Mbekezeli Mbokazi (Chicago Fire, USA).
Midfielders: Teboho Mokoena (Mamelodi Sundowns), Yaya Sithole (Tondela, Portugal), Bathusi Aubaas (Mamelodi Sundowns), Brooklyn Poggenpoel (Durban City), Thalente Mbatha (Orlando Pirates).
Forwards: Iqraam Rayners (Mamelodi Sundowns), Cassius Mailula (Mamelodi Sundowns), Oswin Appollis (Orlando Pirates), Tashreeq Matthews (Mamelodi Sundowns), Relebohile Mofokeng (Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Belgium), Luther Singh (AEL Limassol, Cyprus), Lyle Foster (Houston Dynamo, USA), Tshepang Moremi (Orlando Pirates), Puso Dithejane (Chicago Fire, USA), Siyanda Ndlovu (Mamelodi Sundowns).

Kenya:

Coach Benni McCarthy has recalled captain Michael Olunga in attack after an injury kept him out for five months. 

Defender Eric Marcelo Ouma is also back after a ruptured Achilles tendon sustained in August 2025. Midfielder Alwyn Tera is also back after a lengthy international absence. 

Squad in Full:

Goalkeepers: Byrne Omondi (Gor Mahia), Brian Bwire (Tusker), Faruk Shikalo (Nairobi United).
Defenders: Abud Omar (Tusker), Frank Odhiambo (Gor Mahia), Amos Wanjala (Valencia), Sylvester Owino (Gor Mahia), Eric Marcelo Ouma (Raków Częstochowa), Stanley Wilson (AIK), Vincent Harper (Exeter City), Ronney Onyango (Sogndal FC), Hannif Wesonga (Jamus FC).
Midfielders: Manzur Okwaro (Stade de Reims), Alwyn Tera (Ararat-Armenia), Henry Ochieng (Slough Town), Zak Vyner (Wrexham).
Forwards: Job Ochieng (Real Sociedad), Mohammed Bajaber (Nairobi United), Will Lenkupae (Tulsa), Adam Wilson (New Saints), Ben Stanley (Gor Mahia), Michael Olunga (Al-Arabi), Ryan Ogam (RFC Liège), Micah Obiero (Carlisle).

Verdict

I see South Africa winning this match with a clean sheet. I'm tipping a 2-0 win.

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ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth

Sports Editor, South African Sports Writer • 10+ Years of Experience, South African Sports Specialist

Ralph is a passionate sports journalist and coach based in Cape Town. Find his coverage across the biggest rugby union and cricket events as well as South African soccer and tennis.


Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town.
He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side. 

Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport.

Over the last decade and more, he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa.

You can follow Ralph on LinkedIn and Muckrack and find him featured on Mzansiwins, Bets.co.za and Cape Media Corporation.

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