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Roma vs Real Madrid Tips & Predictions – Points Shared in the Champions League

vedran-ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Mon 12 Oct 2026 19:15
The article analyzes the upcoming clash between Real Madrid and Roma, highlighting Real’s struggles on the road after losing two of their last three La Liga away games. It notes that Roma, under Gasperini’s management, remain unbeaten this season, showing strong form. Given these factors, the article concludes that a draw is the most likely outcome when the teams meet on Wednesday.
Vedran Ostojic 1 hour ago
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  • Real Madrid's performances on the road have been poor
  • We are backing them and Roma to share the spoils in Italy
  • Check our full preview for Roma vs Real Madrid below
Roma have drawn 3 of their last 4 matches (getty Images)

All the problems Real Madrid have encountered this season have come away from home. Roma haven't lost a single match so far this season, so I am predicting a stalemate in the Italian capital. 

Key Stats  


  • Roma have drawn 3 of their last 4 matches. 
  • Real Madrid have lost 2 of their last 3 away matches. 

Los Blancos Lead H2H 


These two European giants locked horns 12 times so far, and Real Madrid have an 8-3 advantage in terms of victories. 

Roma Unbeaten This Season 


Roma snatched a point in their UEFA Champions League opening match against Fenerbahce (1-1) where the opposition missed a couple of big chances to claim the spoils (had 0.47-1.58 xG and 1-3 in goal chances). 

Gian Piero Gasperini's side is having a good run in the Italian Serie A so far, collecting 14 out of possible 18 points, conceding just three goals in six games and currently sit in 3rd place. 

They wasted a 2-0 lead against Inter Milan just before the international break (the game ended in a 2-2 draw), while returning to action last weekend with a goalless draw at Como where Donyell Malen was sent off early in the second half. 

Real Madrid Losing Two Games on the Road


Real Madrid's clash against Inter Milan was arguably the most interesting game of the UCL opening round, Los Blancos taking a 2-1 victory at home thanks to early goals of Kylian Mbappe and Federico Valverde. 

Jose Mourinho's side suffered a painful 2-1 defeat to Atletico Madrid just before the international break which ended their three-game winning streak. 

Real Madrid returned to action on Saturday, beating Villarreal 1-0 at home in a match full of controversies. Yan Diomande was the sole scorer, while Vinicius Junior was sent off in the 73rd minute. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Roma (3-4-2-1) Pierluigi Gollini; Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka, Mario Hermoso; Nahuel Molina, Manu Kone, Marten de Roon, Wesley Gassova; Paulo Dybala, Matias Soule; Donyell Malen

Roma have to contend with first-choice goalkeeper Mile Svilar missing out due to a fractured toe, leaving Pierluigi Gollini to start in goal. Furthermore, Bryan Cristante faces a late fitness test on a knee issue.

Real Madrid (4-2-3-1) Thibaut Courtois; Denzel Dumfries, Ibrahima Konate, Antonio Rudiger, Alvaro Carreras; Federico Valverde, Bernardo Silva; Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior; Kylian Mbappe

Real Madrid have arrived in Rome missing Eder Militao, Ferland Mendy, Rodrygo, and Raul Asencio due to injuries, while Bernardo Silva is available for selection after serving a suspension.

Verdict

I don't trust Real Madrid on the road, losing two of their last three trips in La Liga. Roma are looking rock-solid under Gasperini, yet to lose a match this season, so a draw looks likely on Wednesday. 

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vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic

Sports Editor • 10+ Years Of Experience in Football, Basketball, Handball & Volleyball

Vedran is a passionate sports enthusiast and covers European football, basketball, volleyball and handball.


With a particular love for the English Premier League, he's been writing about sports online for more than a decade since completing a degree in literature and sports journalism.
 
The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, La Liga, Serie A & Bundesliga), basketball (EuroLeague, NBA & WNBA), Handball and Volleyball.

Follow Vedran on Facebook.

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