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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Predictions & Tips - Goals to Flow in the Europa League

alex-waite
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Last updated: Tue 05 May 2026 11:26
Aston Villa host Nottingham Forest at Villa Park in a crucial Europa League clash. Villa, strong at home, need to overturn a deficit to stay in the competition, having a 100% home win record in Europe and scoring 2+ goals in five consecutive European matches. However, Forest arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in five, and scoring freely. With injuries impacting both squads but both possess attacking quality, the recommendation is BTTS (Both Teams To Score) and over 2.5 goals, suggesting an open, high-scoring match.
Alex Waite 05 May 2026
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  • Aston Villa must win to claw back into this UEL tie
  • Nottingham Forest have scored in 9 consecutive matches
  • Goals are likely in this Europa League semi-final encounter
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Aston Villa
Aston Villa have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 consecutive home games (Getty)

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Preview


Aston Villa have to score to get back into this Europa League contest and Nottingham Forest are in good form. An open second leg is anticipated at Villa Park and BTTS is likely. 

Key Stats - Villa High-Scoring at Home


  • Aston Villa have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 consecutive home games. 
  • Aston Villa have seen BTTS in their last 2 home matches. 
  • Nottingham Forest have seen over 3.5 goals in their last 2 away games.

H2H - Plenty of BTTS Results


Aston Villa have a 64-41 advantage against Nottingham Forest, alongside 32 draws.

Aston Villa Must Win to Remain in the UEL


Unai Emery’s Aston Villa have a 100% winning record at home in the 2025/26 Europa League. Villa have also scored 2+ goals in their last five European home games. 

The Villans thrashed Bologna 4-0 at Villa Park in their most recent Europa League home fixture. They followed that result with a 4-3 Premier League home victory over Sunderland. 

The Birmingham team then lost three games in a row, starting with a 1-0 defeat at Fulham. Villa also lost 1-0 at Nottingham Forest in the Europa League, having four shots on target and allowing 1.55 XG. 

Emery’s outfit fell to a 2-1 league loss against Tottenham on Sunday. The Villans were 2-0 down at half time and Emiliano Buendia scored a late consolation goal. 

Nottingham Forest Are Dangerous in Attack


Nottingham Forest have hit top form and are on a five-match winning streak in all competitions. The Reds have been free-scoring during that run, netting 13 goals. 

Vitor Pereira’s side started their strong run of form with a 1-0 Europa League victory against Porto. Premier League wins against Burnley 4-1 and Sunderland 5-0 followed before a 1-0 Europa League triumph against Aston Villa

The Tricky Trees continued their impressive run with a commanding 3-1 victory at Chelsea. Forest had 2.05 XG, Taiwo Awoniyi scored twice and Igor Jesus also found the net. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez; Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne; Lamare Bogarde, Youri Tielemans; John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia; Ollie Watkins

Midfield duo Boubacar Kamara and Amadou Onana are ruled out with long-term knee injuries.

John McGinn missed the Tottenham match due to injury. Unai Emery explained that the midfielder was rested as a precaution and said, “John McGinn, he was confident yesterday but not feeling 100%, so we decided not to take a risk and he’s not going to be involved today.”

Nottingham Forest (4-4-2): Stefan Ortega; Zach Abbott, Nikola Milenkovic, Morato, Neco Williams; Omari Hutchinson, Nicolas Dominguez, Elliot Anderson, Dilane Bakwa; Igor Jesus, Chris Wood

Defenders Murillo, Jair Cunha and Ola Aina and midfielders Ibrahim Sangare and Dan Ndoye are injury doubts.

Goalkeeper John Victor, attacker Callum Hudson-Odoi and defenders Willy Boly and Nicolo Savona are injured.

Morgan Gibbs-White sustained a head injury during the Chelsea game and could also miss out. Vitor Pereira was cautious over the attacker’s condition post-match and said, "He has a deep cut, we will see, he is a fighter and we hope for a miracle."

Verdict

Villa Park is expected to be fired up for this clash and Aston Villa have to play on the front foot. Nottingham Forest know how to score and BTTS and over 2.5 goals have good value in the Europa League.

Best Bet1: BTTS Yes BTTS @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
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