Ukraine vs Hungary Tips & Predictions – Away Win is a Value Bet in the UEFA Nations League
Hungary has shown strong form in the recent Nations League matches, creating more scoring chances and maintaining higher expected goals (xG) than their rivals, including Ukraine. Although Hungary lost their UNL opener to Ukraine, their subsequent performances, including a dominant win over Georgia, highlight their growing momentum. Ukraine, on the other hand, suffered mixed results and a heavy defeat against Northern Ireland. Given Hungary’s recent upturn and positive head-to-head record, the recommendation is to back Hungary for a win on neutral ground in Trnava.
- Ukraine looked awful on Friday in a loss to Northern Ireland
- We are backing Hungary to collect three points on Monday
- Check our full preview for Ukraine vs Hungary below
Hungary looked fantastic in their victory over Georgia on Friday, creating five goal chances and taking the points. I don't view them as underdogs against Ukraine on a neutral court, so an away win is worth backing.
- Key Stats
- Three Previous Meetings
- Mixed Results for Ukraine
- Hungary Recovered from Opening Defeat
- Team News & Predicted Lineups
Key Stats
- Ukraine have lost 2 of their last 4 matches.
- Hungary have won 2 of their last 3 matches against Ukraine.
- Hungary have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
Three Previous Meetings
Hungary have been slightly more successful in previous head to head, winning two out of three encounters, while Ukraine secured one victory.
Mixed Results for Ukraine
Ukraine had the best start possible in the UNL 2026, taking a 1-0 victory against Hungary in the opening round with Danylo Sikan finding the net just before the break on Gheorghiy Sudakov's assist.
They were lucky to avoid defeat in the second round in Tbilisi, holding Georgia to a goalless draw, ending the match with 0.20-0.96 expected goals and 7-14 shots without creating a single goal chance.
The Blue & Yellows suffered a heavy 3-0 loss as "hosts" (neutral ground in Slovakia) on Friday against Northern Ireland, failing to get anything out of 72% possession.
Hungary Recovered from Opening Defeat
Hungary had 2.03-1.29 expected goals, 57% possession and 17-10 shots against Ukraine at home in their UNL opening match yet lost the encounter 1-0. Defender Bendeguz Bolla missed a big chance to level the score.
Marco Rossi's side haven't shown much in the follow up clash against Northern Ireland in Belfast which ended in a goalless draw where both sides failed to create opportunities.
Their first victory was finally earned on Friday, outplaying Georgia 1-0 in Budapest with Milos Kerkez being the sole scorer in the first half.
Team News & Predicted Lineups
Ukraine (4-3-3) Dmytro Riznyk; Illya Krupskyi, Illia Zabarnyi, Mykola Matviyenko, Bohdan Mykhaylichenko; Volodymyr Brazhko, Oleh Ocheretko, Heorhiy Sudakov; Oleksandr Zubkov, Danylo Sikan, Vladyslav Vanat
Ukraine have to deal with several notable missing figures, as Everton defender Vitaliy Mykolenko is ruled out with a leg injury alongside Girona winger Viktor Tsygankov. Furthermore, midfielder Yegor Yarmolyuk and long-term absentee Ruslan Malinovskyi remain unavailable, while Oleksandr Nazarenko serves a suspension following his red card.
Ukraine have to deal with several notable missing figures, as Everton defender Vitaliy Mykolenko is ruled out with a leg injury alongside Girona winger Viktor Tsygankov. Furthermore, midfielder Yegor Yarmolyuk and long-term absentee Ruslan Malinovskyi remain unavailable, while Oleksandr Nazarenko serves a suspension following his red card.
Hungary (4-3-1-2) Balazs Toth; Bendeguz Bolla, Willi Orban, Mark Csinger, Milos Kerkez; Andras Schafer, Aron Csongvai, Milan Vitalis; Dominik Szoboszlai, Damir Redzic, Daniel Lukacs
The visitors are missing primary forward Barnabas Varga through a thigh injury.
The visitors are missing primary forward Barnabas Varga through a thigh injury.
Verdict
Hungary had higher xG than their opponents in all three games so far and deserved more than four points. I like their chances of beating Ukraine on a neutral court in Trnava this Monday.
Hungary Win
Full-Time Result
@2/1 - 1 Unit
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With a particular love for the English Premier League, he's been writing about sports online for more than a decade since completing a degree in literature and sports journalism.
The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, La Liga, Serie A & Bundesliga), basketball (EuroLeague, NBA & WNBA), Handball and Volleyball.
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