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USA vs Chile Predictions & Tips - US Tipped to Claim Friendly Win

ryan-allan
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Last updated: Mon 28 Sep 2026 14:03
USA and Chile will face off in a friendly in St. Louis, with the USA favored after a dominant 4-1 win over Peru. The American squad, energized by young debutants, is expected to rotate but remain strong, despite absences like Pulisic and Balogun. Chile, on the other hand, are seeking a rebound after their 1-0 defeat to Canada, but face suspensions and recent poor form. The key prediction is for a strong US victory with at least two goals scored, highlighting the visitors’ defensive vulnerabilities.
Ryan Allan 28 Sep 2026
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  • USA scored four in their first match since the World Cup
  • USA win and over 1.5 goals tipped in St. Louis on Tuesday 
  • Get our USA vs Chile tips in the international friendlies
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Cavan Sullivan made his USA debut against Peru (Getty Images)

USA vs Chile Predictions

USA and Chile meet at Energizer Park in St. Louis in a friendly fixture on Tuesday.

The hosts began the international window with a convincing win against Peru, while Chile slipped to defeat against Canada last week.

I have my stake on a home win with at least two goals scored.

USA Backed in St. Louis


  • USA scored 2+ goals in 10 of their last 13 matches.
  • USA won 4 of their last 6 matches
  • Chile lost 3 of their last 4 matches
  • Chile conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 defeats

USA and Chile Meet for First Time Since 2019

USA and Chile have met in three previous international friendlies since 2011. Two of those games finished as 1-1 draws while Chile secured a 3-2 win in 2015. 

USA Make Bright Start to New Era

USA face the second of four international friendlies after an impressive 4-1 win against Peru on Saturday 

Competing in their first fixture since a World Cup round-of-16 exit against Belgium, Justin Ellis headed USA ahead on his debut before Gianluca Lapadula levelled. 

Malik Tillman’s penalty restored the lead before debutant Julian Hall and Sebastian Berhalter completed a convincing win for Mauricio Pochettino’s side.

USA had 70% of possession and outshot Peru 16-5. The final xG totals (1.96-0.50) further underlined the hosts’ dominance.

Eleven Americans made their senior debuts, including eight teenagers. Among them was Cavan Sullivan, who is set to join Manchester City when he turns 18 next year.

Pochettino’s side have developed an impressive attacking style in the past year or so. The US scored an average of 2.3 goals per game in their last 13 international fixtures.

Chile Look to Bounce Back After Toronto Setback

Chile make the trip to St. Louis after an ill-disciplined 1-0 defeat against Canada on Saturday. Jonathan David’s 12th-minute goal settled the opening game of La Roja’s North American tour.

The Chileans lost their composure in Toronto. Lucas Cepeda was sent off in the 36th minute before captain Gabriel Suazo received a second yellow card shortly after half-time.

Nicolas Cordova’s men offered little going forward after being reduced to nine men. Canada controlled the contest with 66% possession and 22 shots, but could not add to their early lead.

While results have improved since a dismal World Cup qualification campaign, Chile have now lost three of their last four games. A 4-1 defeat against New Zealand earlier this year highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. 

Over the past year, Chile kept clean sheets in only two of their last 12 games. The South Americans conceded two goals or more in friendly defeats against Portugal, New Zealand, Brazil and Bolivia. 

La Roja also finished bottom of South American World Cup qualifying with only two wins in 18 fixtures. 

USA vs Chile Squads & Team News

USA Squad

Goalkeepers: Chris Brady, Matt Freese, Diego Kochen, Brian Schwake
Defenders: George Campbell, Sergino Dest, Alex Freeman, Peyton Miller, Neil Pierre, Chris Richards, Antonee Robinson, Miles Robinson, Auston Trusty, Frankie Westfield
Midfielders: Tyler Adams, Mathis Albert, Sebastian Berhalter, Zavier Gozo, Adri Mehmeti, Yunus Musah, Brooklyn Raines, Gio Reyna, Malik Tillman
Forwards: Cole Campbell, Damion Downs, Justin Ellis, Julian Hall, Cavan Sullivan

Pochettino is expected to rotate his selection after including several new faces in the win against Peru. 

Damion Downs could come into contention to play at his club's home ground in St. Louis. 

Sixteen-year-old Philadelphia Cavan Sullivan made his senior debut last weekend and is likely to win his second cap on Tuesday. 

Christian Pulisic and Folarin Balogun are notable absentees from the US selection.

Chile Squad

Goalkeepers: Brayan Cortes, Lawrence Vigouroux, Christian Bravo
Defenders: Paulo Diaz, Gabriel Suazo, Benjamin Kuscevic, Ivan Roman, Felipe Faundez, Marcelo Morales, Francisco Salinas, Diego Ulloa, Jonathan Villagra
Midfielders: Marcelino Nunez, Rodrigo Echeverria, Felipe Loyola, Vicente Pizarro, Felipe Mendez, Cesar Perez, Matias Sepulveda, Agustin Arce, Nils Reichmuth, Leandro Hernandez
Forwards: Ben Brereton Diaz, Dario Osorio, Lucas Cepeda, Gonzalo Tapia, Maximiliano Gutierrez

Chilean head coach Cordova will be forced into at least two changes to his first XI. Lucas Cepeda and Gabriel Suazo, who both started in Toronto, are suspended after their red cards. 

Diego Ulloa, Maximiliano Gutierrez and Felipe Loyola are among those in contention for starting places this week. 

Verdict

USA impressed with a new-look squad against Peru, while Chile fell to another friendly defeat in Canada last weekend.

I expect the attack-minded hosts to win with at least two goals scored in St. Louis. 

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ryan-allan
Ryan Allan

Football Writer • 10+ Years Of Experience, Football Analyst

Ryan is a Barcelona-based football fanatic with 10+ years of experience as a sports writer and statistical analyst. He covers a number of leagues including from his native Scotland, Italy, Germany and more.


A huge fan of the goal markets, he specialises in BTTS and over 2.5 goal picks from the MLS to the Bundesliga and beyond.

He has also been featured on MightyTips and you can find more from Ryan on Muckrack and LinkedIn.

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