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Slovenia vs Sweden Live Stream & Predictions – Swedes to Cover at the European Championship

vedran-ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Thu 22 Jan 2026 18:47
In the upcoming match, Sweden is expected to dominate against Slovenia in the European Championship. Sweden's edge comes from their superior quality, experience, and defensive organization, which were evident in the opening phase of the tournament. The Swedes comfortably beat Slovenia by six goals in their previous encounter at the European Championship, and a similar result is anticipated this time. The recommendation is clear: expect Sweden to cover the spread without much difficulty, showcasing their prowess on the court.
Vedran Ostojic 22 Jan 2026
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  • Sweden are ahead in terms of experience and quality
  • We don't expect them to face any problems against Slovenia
  • Watch Slovenia vs Sweden at the European Championship
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Watch Sweden vs Slovenia (Getty Images)

Match Preview 


Despite Slovenia’s impressive displays in the opening phase, it’s hard to see them finding consistent answers against a Swedish defense that limited Croatia to just 25 goals. With that in mind, I’m backing the Scandinavian side to pull away and claim a convincing win here. 

Slovenia Enjoying a Dream Tournament Run 


Slovenia have been one of the most pleasant surprise packages of the European Championship 2026 so far, combining strong results with highly entertaining handball throughout the group stage. 

Their campaign kicked off in dramatic fashion with a thrilling 41-40 victory over Montenegro, where Domen Makuc and Domen Novak both finished with nine goals. That was followed by a remarkable comeback win against Switzerland, overturning a 29-22 deficit midway through the second half to secure a 38-35 victory. 

Slovenia made it three wins from three in the final group round against the Faroe Islands, although they were pushed all the way in a hard-fought 30-27 success. Makuc once again led the way with 10 goals, and the Dragons comfortably outperformed expectations as warm underdogs in that matchup. 

Sweden Building Confidence Through Defensive Excellence 


Sweden fully justified their status as heavy favorites during the group phase played in front of their home crowd, winning all three games and advancing to the Main Round with two points carried over. 

They opened the tournament with a solid 36-31 win over the Netherlands before comfortably dispatching minnows Georgia 38-29 a couple of days later, Nikola Roganovic standing out with six goals and three assists. 

The real statement came in the group derby against Croatia, where Sweden completely shut down the Cowboys’ transition game and offensive flow, cruising to a dominant 33-25 victory that significantly boosted their confidence heading into the Main Round. 

Verdict

Sweden clearly hold the edge in terms of quality, experience, and defensive organisation, all of which were on full display in the opening phase. They also beat Slovenia by six goals at the previous European Championship, and I expect a similar scenario to unfold on Friday, with the Swedes covering comfortably once again. 

Best Bet1: Sweden -5.5 Asian Handicap @9/10 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Sweden -5.5
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Slovenia v Sweden