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Spain vs France Live Stream & Predictions – France to Cover at the European Championship

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Sun 25 Jan 2026 15:11
In a stunning display of skill, France's record-breaking victory over Portugal has infused the team with significant confidence going into the final rounds. With Spain no longer in contention and playing solely for pride, France is focusing on securing their position at the top by clinching a vital win. This heightened morale and strategic advantage are likely to see Les Bleus prevailing in their upcoming matches, demonstrating their prowess and determination to succeed in the tournament.
Vedran Ostojic 25 Jan 2026
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  • France's confidence is sky after beating Portugal
  • We are backing them to beat already-eliminated Spain
  • Watch Spain vs France live at the European Championship
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Watch Spain vs France Live (Getty Images)

Match Preview 


Spain enters this match with very little to play for after seeing their semifinal hopes disappear. In contrast, France has looked dominant, with their only stumble coming against a powerhouse Danish side. Given the massive gap in motivation and current form, I am backing France to win and cover the –4.5 handicap. 

Spain Struggles to Close Games in Main Round 


Spain is currently the only team in Main Round Group I eliminated from semifinal contention. After carrying over zero points from the group phase and losing both of their Main Round matchups, The Red Fury has found life difficult in the tournament's second stage. 

They showed flashes of brilliance against Norway, playing neck-and-neck for the entire match and even holding a 26–23 lead late in the second half. However, they suffered a defensive collapse in the final minutes, eventually falling 35–34 after a missed shot at the buzzer. 

Their momentum took a further hit two days ago against Denmark. Spain never truly threatened the hosts, suffering a 36-31 defeat. Despite the loss, Alex Dujshebaev remained a bright spot, leading the team with six goals. 

France Finds Offensive Firepower in Semifinal Hunt 


France has been one of the most impressive teams at the 2026 European Championship, racking up four wins in five matches to remain firmly in the hunt for a semifinal berth. 

After a perfect group stage with blowout wins over the Czech Republic (42-28) and Ukraine (46-26), they carried maximum points into the Main Round. Their only setback was a narrow 32–29 loss to Denmark, where they led at halftime and held a 26–24 lead late before their defense faltered in the closing stretch. 

However, they bounced back in historic fashion two days ago, crushing Portugal 46-38. Their offense was nearly perfect, scoring 22 goals on their first 23 shot attempts and setting a new record for first-half goals. Ludovic Fabregas earned Man of the Match honors with six goals, but it was a total team effort overall.

Verdict

France’s record-breaking performance against Portugal has given them a massive confidence boost heading into the final rounds. With Spain already playing for pride and France needing a win to secure their spot at the top, expect Les Bleus to win in handicap. 

Best Bet1: France -4.5 Asian Handicap @9/10 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
France -4.5
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