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Spain vs Norway Live Stream & Predictions – Spain Underestimated at the European Championship

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Wed 21 Jan 2026 18:48
Spain appears to be the stronger team entering the matchup against Norway. While Norway faltered in what was considered their toughest group phase challenge against France, Spain successfully overcame both Serbia and Austria, known as formidable teams in a challenging group. Given these performances, Spain is considered the favored team, making it a more strategic choice to back them for the win in this encounter.
Vedran Ostojic 21 Jan 2026
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  • Spain advanced from group of death by winning two games
  • We are backing them to upset Norway on Thursday
  • Watch Spain vs Norway live at the European Championship
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Watch Spain vs Norway Live (Getty Images)

Match Preview 


I am surprised Norway are tagged as favorites here, especially after how poor their defense looked in the recent clash against France. Spain are coming out of a group of death with two wins from three matches, so there is clear value in backing them to win this encounter. 

Spain Searching for a Main Round Breakthrough 


Spain will most likely need at least three victories in the Main Round to secure a place in the European Championship 2026 semifinals after carrying over zero points from the group stage. 

They controlled the tempo and claimed a well-deserved 29–27 win in the opening round against Serbia, with Ian Tarrafeta leading the scoring with six goals. That was followed by another solid performance two days later, beating Austria 30–25. 

Spain’s goalkeepers had a very difficult outing in the final group match against Germany, struggling to make saves, and even a productive offense couldn’t prevent a narrow 34–32 defeat. 

Norway Exposed Against Elite Opposition 


Norway played the group stage of the European Championship 2026 in front of their home crowd but failed to fully capitalize on that advantage, advancing to the Main Round without carrying over any points. 

They opened the tournament by demolishing Ukraine 39–22, with Patrick Aderson and Alexander Blonz scoring seven goals each. Another convincing display followed against the Czech Republic, where Norway claimed a 29–25 victory while allowing just nine goals in the second half. 

However, defensive issues were clearly exposed in the final group match against reigning champions France, where Norway struggled to contain transition play and lost 38–34 without ever seriously threatening an upset. 

Verdict

Norway didn’t show enough against France, which was arguably their only true test in the group phase. Spain, on the other hand, defeated both Serbia and Austria, two strong sides from a group of death. With that in mind, backing Spain to win this clash looks like the value play. 

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22 Jan 2026

Spain v Norway