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Italy vs Slovakia Betting Tips & Predictions – Stick with Goals at the Winter Olympics 2026

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Thu 12 Feb 2026 20:29
In a spirited Group match-up, Italy displayed resilience against the highly favored Sweden. The match saw a gripping first half with Italy leveling at 2-2 before succumbing to a 5-2 defeat. Italy's performance indicates their potential to net goals against Slovakia as well. This sets up the over 5.5 goals as an appealing betting prospect for their clash with Slovakia.
Vedran Ostojic 12 Feb 2026
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  • Italy held Sweden to a 2-2 score in second period but lost 5-2
  • Slovakia had a furious start to the tournament against Finland
  • Check our full match preview for Italy vs Slovakia below
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Slovakia impressed against Finland (Getty Images)

Match Preview 


Italy were heavy underdogs against Sweden in the opening round but still caused problems and managed to score twice. Slovakia also looked sharp in their convincing win over Finland, so another open, high-scoring game looks likely in Milano. I am expecting at least six goals here. 

Italy Showed Fight Against Sweden 


Italy opened their Olympics 2026 campaign against mighty Sweden and left a solid impression. The Azzurri were always expected to lose, but they started brightly and looked agile in the first period before eventually going down 5-2 to the Scandinavian side. 

Luca Frigo gave Italy a surprise lead early on, while Matthew Bradley found an equalizer early in the second period, which proved to be their final moment of resistance. Goaltender Damian Clara also deserves credit after producing an impressive 49-save performance. 

Italy have never finished above seventh place at the Olympics, and this marks their 10th appearance at the tournament, with their previous participation dating back to 2006. 

Slovakia Off to a Flying Start 


Although they are not among the main medal contenders, Slovakia looked excellent in the opening round, comfortably beating reigning champions Finland 4-1. 

Goaltender Samuel Hlavaj was outstanding with 39 saves, while Juraj Slafkovsky dominated in open ice, registering two goals and one assist to earn man-of-the-match honors. 

Slovakia warmed up for the Winter Olympics 2026 with three matches at the European Cup of Nations in mid-December, recording wins over Norway 7-4 and Latvia 3-2, with their only defeat coming in a 3-0 loss to Germany. 

Verdict

Italy may be the weakest side in this group, but they showed no fear against heavy favorites Sweden, sitting level at 2-2 midway through the second period before eventually losing 5-2. I can see them grabbing a goal or two against a favored Slovakia side as well, making over 5.5 goals the best betting option. 

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