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Rögle BK vs HV71 SHL Predictions & Betting Tips - Back Rögle at Home

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026 10:37
Rögle BK are favored to extend their strong defensive home record when they host HV71 in the SHL. Rögle have conceded just one goal in each of their three home games this season, while HV71 have struggled offensively, managing no more than two goals in their last three matches. The main prediction is HV71 under 2.5 goals, with Rögle to win including overtime and shootouts, and Lubos Horky tipped as an anytime goalscorer.
Jeremy Darke 2 hours ago
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  • Rögle BK have allowed only one goal in each of their three SHL home games this season.
  • HV71 have struggled in attack, scoring no more than two goals in their last three matches.
  • Predictions favor Rögle to win, with HV71 under 2.5 goals and Lubos Horky scoring anytime.
Rögle BK vs HV71 SHL Predictions
Rögle BK vs HV71 SHL Predictions

Rögle BK vs HV71 SHL Predictions & Betting Tips - Back Rögle's Home Defence


Rögle have been extremely difficult to break down at home this season, and another controlled performance should see them beat HV71 while keeping the visitors under 2.5 goals.

Rögle's home defensive record is the standout trend heading into Thursday. They've beaten Djurgården 3-1, Linköping 2-1 in overtime and Timrå 4-1 at home, conceding exactly one goal in all three games.

That fits nicely against an HV71 attack that has slowed considerably. They've scored 2, 2 and 1 goals across their last three games, most recently managing just one in a 3-1 defeat against Färjestad.

Rögle have also kept things tight away from home, allowing only 12 goals through six SHL games, and we're expecting that defence to dictate the game again at Catena Arena.


  • Rögle are 3-0 at home including overtime this SHL season.
  • They have conceded exactly one goal in each of their three home games.
  • HV71 have scored five goals across their last three matches.
  • Rögle have allowed only 12 goals in six SHL games, an average of 2.0 per game.

Rögle BK Form


Rögle have gone 3-3 through their opening six games, but their results don't tell the full story. They've conceded only 12 goals and their home form has been particularly impressive, with wins over Djurgården, Linköping and Timrå.

They've allowed just three goals in those three home games, and the 4-1 victory over Timrå was probably the clearest example of the game we're expecting here. Rögle got themselves in front and gave Timrå very little opportunity to work their way back into it.

Lubos Horky has also emerged as their most consistent goal threat. He has four goals in six games, with those goals coming in four separate matches. Horky scored again in the 3-2 defeat against Växjö last time out, making him our choice to find the net against HV71.

HV71 Form


HV71 have won only two of their opening six games and come into Thursday after a 3-1 defeat against Färjestad.

Their attack has cooled after some wild games earlier in the season. HV71 scored five against Växjö, but their subsequent three performances have produced just two goals against Björklöven, two against Örebro and one against Färjestad.

That makes this a difficult matchup. Rögle have yet to concede more than one goal at home, while HV71 haven't reached three in any of their last three. HV71 under 2.5 goals is therefore our strongest selection.

Verdict

HV71 under 2.5 team goals is the main play, with Rögle to win including overtime and shootouts backed to maintain their perfect home record. Lubos Horky anytime goalscorer completes the selections after scoring four times in six games.
Best Bet1: Rögle Win in Regulation @7/11 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: HV71 Under 2.5 Team Total @1/2 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Lubos Horky Anytime Goalscorer @41/20 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Rögle
Win in Regulation
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Bet at bet365
HV71 Under 2.5
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Bet at dabble
Lubos Horky
Anytime Goalscorer
@41/20 - 1 Unit
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Bet at Star Sports
jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Writer & Expert Betting Analyst

Jeremy is a freelance journalist who is a true sports activist. A die-hard fan of the NRL all his life and also has a passion for all the major American sports.


From when he was a little fella he has played most sports ranging from rugby, ice hockey, tennis and football, just to name a few. His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster.

Tipster and presenter on YouTube and a co-founder of The Sports Cap and The Basketball Fix.

You can find Jeremy on Muckrack and LinkedIn.

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