Texas State at Texas Betting Tips – Back Longhorns As Double Digit Favourites In College Football
Texas are predicted to cover the spread in their 2026 season opener against Texas State, following key offseason improvements in offense and returning a strong defense. Texas State, coming off a 7-6 campaign with a late rally, face a Longhorns team eager to build on a 10-win but ultimately disappointing 2025. Texas have history on their side, having won the only previous meeting, and are expected to assert their dominance, laying down an early season marker.
- Texas are favoured to cover vs Texas State in the 2026 opener
- Longhorns improved on offense and bring back a solid defense
- Texas State ended 2025 strong but face a tough matchup
Texas are tipped to cover as they enjoy a winning start to the season.
The Longhorns have made some excellent additions on offense in the offseason, and return a solid defense that can slow down this explosive Texas State group.
Key Numbers – Will Longhorns Record 4th Cover In 5 Home Outings?
- Texas have covered in 3 of their previous 4 home games dating back to 2025
- Texas State failed to cover as a double digit underdog last season
- The Under hit in 3 of Texas’ 4 games as a double digit favourite in 2025
Texas Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting
- Texas lead the all-time series 1-0
- Texas won 36-0 when the two teams last met in 1930
Texas State Went 7-6 During 2025
Texas State enter the 2026 season looking to improve on a 2025 campaign that saw them win seven games, but only three in the Sun Belt conference.
The Bobcats opened the season with three wins in four non-conference games, but when the Sun Belt schedule began, their form nose-dived.
They lost five consecutive games against conference opposition to all-but end their season in early November.
Texas State did rally however, wrapping up their Sun Belt slate by beating Southern Mississippi 41-14, UL-Monroe 31-14 and South Alabama 49-26.
The Bobcats then made it four-in-a-row as they blew out Rice in the Armed Forces Bowl, winning 41-10.
Texas Missed Playoffs Despite 10 Wins Last Season
Texas hit double digit for wins last season, but ultimately it was a disappointing campaign as they missed out on the SEC Championship and the College Football Playoffs.
The Longhorns entered the season as the number one ranked team in the nation, but quickly lost that slot as they were beaten 14-7 by Ohio State in the opener.
They rebounded with three non-conference wins in a row, only to then drop their SEC opener in Florida, 29-21.
Texas rebounded with four straight wins, but their hopes of making the conference championship and the playoffs were ended when they lost 35-10 in Georgia.
The Longhorns did win their final two SEC games though, beating Arkansas 52-37 and Texas A&M 27-17, before closing out the year with a 41-27 win over Michigan in the Citrus Bowl.
Verdict
Texas underwhelmed significantly in 2025, but we expect to see notable improvement in 2026.
The Longhorns have fixed some holes while adding more weapons on offense, and we expect them to lay down an early marker with a comfortable victory over the Bobcats.
The Longhorns have fixed some holes while adding more weapons on offense, and we expect them to lay down an early marker with a comfortable victory over the Bobcats.
Texas -29.5
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