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Count Binface 9/1 to beat Nigel Farage after launching Clacton By-Election manifesto

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Last updated: Mon 27 Jul 2026 12:36
Conrad Castleton 2 hours ago
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  • Count Binface is 9/1 to win the Clacton by-election
  • Reform UK and Nigel Farage are overwhelming 1/25 favourites to retain the seat
  • Binface has launched a 20-point Clacton manifesto ahead of the August 13th by-election

Count Binface is 9/1 with bet365 to pull off a remarkable political upset and beat Nigel Farage in the Clacton by-election after launching his new 20-point manifesto.

The satirical candidate published his Clacton manifesto on Monday, combining policies aimed directly at the constituency with the surreal pledges that have become a trademark of his election campaigns.

Nigel Farage and Reform UK remain overwhelming favourites to win the seat, with bet365 pricing Reform at 1/25 at time of writing.

Latest Clacton By-Election Odds


  • Reform UK - 1/25
  • Count Binface - 9/1
  • Reclaim Party - 100/1
  • Monster Raving Loony Party - 100/1
  • British Democrats - 250/1
  • Tony Cane - 250/1
  • Forward Party - 500/1

Odds are correct at time of writing but are subject to change.

The market has moved substantially since the Clacton by-election was announced.

On July 8th, Count Binface was 9/2 to win the seat, with Reform at 1/8. Binface has since drifted to 9/1 while Reform have shortened significantly.


What Is in Count Binface's Clacton Manifesto?


Count Binface has unveiled a 20-point manifesto for the Clacton by-election, promising to boost the area's "economy, prestige and fame" while pledging to cut taxes for YOU and raise them for everyone else!

Among the more conventional proposals are a £1.99 cap on bus fares, regeneration of Walton Pier and a pledge to build at least one affordable house.

Binface also promises to spend more time in Clacton-on-Sea than in Washington DC and to champion the area if elected, while several pPolitical reform feature in the manifesto.

99 Flakes, Walton Pier and a New Bin HQ


Other policies are more unmistakably Binface. He wants 99 Flake ice creams capped at 99p, arcade grabber machines made fairer so players have a genuine chance of winning and oil and gas companies to pay for solar panels for everyone.

Binface also proposes moving Parliament to a new "Bin HQ" in Weeley while the Palace of Westminster is restored.

His manifesto includes a referendum on whether Pluto should regain its status as a planet, a windfall tax on celebrity-written crime novels, and a proposal to make Wayne Rooney the BBC's new expert summariser for Eurovision. All vote winners, for sure.

Another pledge states that Binface would not accept £5 million gifts from crypto billionaires - "on Earth".

He also wants people driving past Clacton station with "annoyingly loud exhausts" to lose their licence.

The final manifesto point reiterates several previous Count Binface policies, including bringing back Ceefax, nationalising Adele and renaming HS2 "FFS1".




Could Count Binface Beat Nigel Farage in Clacton?


The betting odds suggest it would still rank as an enormous political upset. Farage won Clacton at the 2024 general election with 21,225 votes and a 46.2% vote share, however this by-election is very different.

Labour, the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Green Party have all opted not to field candidates. However, what initially threatened to become an unusual head-to-head contest has instead produced a record 34 candidates on the ballot for August 13th.

Despite the crowded field, Binface remains comfortably the shortest-priced alternative to Reform in the latest Clacton by-election odds.

At 9/1, Binface's odds equate to a simple implied probability of 10% before the bookmaker's margin is taken into account, but his Clacton manifesto should provide plenty more attention for an already extraordinary by-election campaign.

  • Clacton by-election date: Thursday, August 13th, 2026
  • Latest odds: Reform UK 1/25 | Count Binface 9/1
conrad-castleton
Conrad Castleton

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

Conrad is an industry veteran and has been involved in the sports betting and poker industries since 2008. 


Conrad is a seasoned journalist with a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism from the The Missouri School of Journalism. He kickstarted his career as a freelance contributor for CardPlayer Magazine, where he honed his skills in covering local events and dissecting online poker legislation. Rising through the ranks, Mark joined Bluff Magazine as a Staff Writer. At Bluff, he specialized in covering high-stakes tournaments like the World Series of Poker (WSOP) and the World Poker Tour (WPT), while also delivering compelling interviews with professional players. 

Conrad also covers sports betting and enjoys going to Kansas City Chiefs games.

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