Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Bledisloe Cup Test Betting Tips - Value on Australia in handicap market
New Zealand delivered a commanding second half to defeat Australia 50-19 at Eden Park, extending their winning streak over the Wallabies to 11 matches. Despite recent success in other matches, Australia faces challenges in maintaining consistency. With the next game set in Australia, expectations are for a much tighter encounter, as the Wallabies seek to respond after last week's heavy defeat. Lineups for both teams are announced, and New Zealand continues to show improvement under coach Dave Rennie.
- New Zealand extended their winning streak over Australia to 11 matches with a dominant 50-19 victory at Eden Park.
- Australia seeks a stronger response at home, aiming to address consistency and maintain performance for 80 minutes.
- A closer contest is expected this week, with both teams announcing their starting lineups and the Wallabies motivated to rebound.
New Zealand produced a stellar second half display against the Wallabies to run out easy victors. This week in Australia, things may be a bit tighter.
- Key Stats - New Zealand Dominant
- All Blacks Lead 11-0
- Australia Need Response After last Week
- New Zealand Constant Improvement
- Team News & Starting Lineups
Key Stats - New Zealand Dominant
- Australia have lost by 14 or less points in 4 of their last 6 matches against New Zealand.
- Australia have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
- New Zealand have won their last 11 matches against Australia.
- New Zealand beat Australia 50-19 last weekend at Eden Park.
All Blacks Lead 11-0
New Zealand have a very dominant record against Australia in recent years, winning their last 11 encounters. The last time Australia won was back in 2020 by two points
Australia Need Response After last Week
Australia are certainly on an upward curve as we move towards the 2027 Rugby World Cup in Australia. Their biggest issue is consistency and maintaining a high level at set piece for 80 minutes.
The Wallabies have beaten Japan twice this year, then won a two-match series 1-0 in Argentina after a draw in the second test. The Wallabies also beat two-time defending World Cup winners, South Africa 42-38, however that was against a weakened Springbok side.
Last week was their one blow-out of 2026 and given their home performances and the first half performance in Eden Park, I am leaning towards the bit of credit the Wallabies have in the bank. They would need to maintain an 80 minute performance but will be desperate after the Eden Park disappointment.
New Zealand Constant Improvement
The All Blacks have shown huge improvement under Dave Rennie in 2026. Despite losing 3-1 in Rugby's Greatest Rivalry Tour to South Africa, the signs on improvement were already clear, especially in their first Test win.
Compared to Australia, the All Blacks have more rugby under their belt as the tour to South Africa was not only four Test matches but also four outings against provincial outfits. They won all four provincial games and one Test.
Last week New Zealand were always expected to win, especially at Eden Park where they haven't lost in 53 matches. But Australia were in the game at half time before the All Blacks produced a stellar second half display, aided by the Wallabies errors at crucial times.
Team News & Starting Lineups
Australia: 15 Tom Wright, 14 Max Jorgensen, 13 Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii, 12 Isaac Henry, 11 Harry Potter, 10 Declan Meredith, 9 Ryan Lonergan, 8 Harry Wilson (captain), 7 Fraser McReight, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Jeremy Williams, 4 Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, 3 Allan Alaalatoa, 2 Josh Nasser, 1 Aidan Ross.
Bench: 16 Billy Pollard, 17 Angus Bell, 18 Massimo De Lutiis, 19 Josh Canham, 20 Carlo Tizzano, 21 Kalani Thomas, 22 Harry McLaughlin-Phillips, 23 Filipo Daugunu.
New Zealand: 15 Beauden Barrett, 14 Will Jordan, 13 Quinn Tupaea, 12 Jordie Barrett, 11 Josh Moorby, 10 Damian McKenzie, 9 Cam Roigard, 8 Wallace Sititi, 7 Peter Lakai, 6 Tupou Vaa’i, 5 Fabian Holland, 4 Scott Barrett, 3 Fletcher Newell, 2 Codie Taylor (captain), 1 George Bower.
Bench: 16 Samisoni Taukei’aho, 17 Xavier Numia, 18 Pasilio Tosi, 19 Shannon Frizell, 20 Du’Plessis Kirifi, 21 Cortez Ratima, 22 Timoci Tavatavanawai, 23 Rieko Ioane.
Verdict
New Zealand were too good at Eden Park last weekend and should be again, however, at home, I think the Wallabies can get withing 14.5.
Australia +14.5
Handicap
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Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town.
He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side.
Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport.
Over the last decade and more, he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa.
You can follow Ralph on LinkedIn and Muckrack and find him featured on Mzansiwins, Bets.co.za and Cape Media Corporation.
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