Scotland vs Australia Betting Tips - Scotland set for victory over Australia in Nations Championship
Scotland are tipped to beat Australia by more than 7.5 points at Murrayfield, based on Australia’s recent defensive problems, having conceded 138 points in their last three Tests. Scotland have won four of their last five meetings with Australia and have scored at least 28 points in four of their last six Tests, demonstrating strong attacking form. Australia will be without centre Isaac Henry, while other team selections are yet to be confirmed. The main recommendation is Scotland -7.5 on the handicap market.
- Scotland are tipped to cover the -7.5 handicap against Australia.
- Australia have conceded 138 points in their last three Tests.
- Scotland have won four of their last five meetings with Australia.
Australia have been very poor over their last three matches, particularly from a defensive perspective. Scotland have a good attack and are backed to cover -7.5.
- Key Stats - Good Recent Record for Scotland
- Head-to-Head
- Scotland need to Bounce Back
- Australia Horrific Defensive Displays recently
- Team News
Key Stats - Good Recent Record for Scotland
- Scotland have won 4 of their last 5 Tests against Australia.
- Scotland defeated Australia 27-13 in their most recent meeting in 2024.
- Scotland have won 3 of their 4 Nations Championship matches against southern hemisphere opposition outside New Zealand and South Africa.
- Scotland have scored 28 or more points in 4 of their last 6 Tests.
- Australia have lost their last 3 Tests, conceding 138 points.
- Australia have conceded at least 43 points in each of those 3 defeats.
- Australia lost 45-22 against England last weekend.
Head-to-Head
Scotland have enjoyed an impressive recent record against Australia, winning four of the last five meetings.
Scotland need to Bounce Back
Scotland suffered a disappointing 43-21 defeat against New Zealand at Murrayfield last weekend, conceding six tries against the All Blacks.
However, Gregor Townsend's side have demonstrated considerable attacking ability throughout the year.
They defeated Argentina 47-38 and Fiji 33-17 during the July Nations Championship fixtures, while also producing a 50-40 victory over France in the Six Nations.
Their 42-28 defeat against South Africa in July was another example of their ability to score against elite opposition, although defensive weaknesses remain a concern.
Scotland have scored at least 28 points in four of their last six Tests, suggesting they have the attacking quality to exploit Australia's recent defensive problems.
Home advantage should also be significant, particularly against opponents who have struggled to contain the leading northern hemisphere sides.
Australia Horrific Defensive Displays recently
Australia arrive in Edinburgh following three consecutive defeats, with their defensive performances becoming an increasing concern.
The Wallabies suffered a 45-22 defeat against England at Twickenham last weekend, having previously lost 43-21 and 50-19 against New Zealand.
They have conceded 138 points across those three matches, an average of 46 per game.
Their defeat against England was particularly disappointing, with the hosts establishing control early and repeatedly exposing Australia's defensive organisation.
The Wallabies have also struggled with instability in midfield, with injuries forcing regular changes to their centre combinations.
Isaac Henry has been ruled out of the remaining Nations Championship fixtures with a hamstring injury, although Carter Gordon, Tom Hooper and Brandon Paenga-Amosa are expected to be available for selection.
Australia remain dangerous in attack and demonstrated their potential with a 42-38 victory over South Africa in September. However, their recent defensive record makes another difficult afternoon a realistic possibility.
Team News
Australia will be without centre Isaac Henry, who suffered a hamstring injury against England. Carter Gordon, Tom Hooper and Brandon Paenga-Amosa have returned to training and could feature.
Both teams' confirmed matchday selections are still awaited.
Verdict
Scotland are tipped to win by more than 7.5 points at Murrayfield.
Scotland -7.5
Handicap
@10/11 - 5 Units
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Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town.
He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side.
Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport.
Over the last decade and more, he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa.
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