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Denis Shapovalov vs Jannik Sinner Live Stream & Predictions - Games Market the Play in Indian Wells

john-eastwood
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Last updated: Sat 07 Mar 2026 12:41
The tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Jannik Sinner at Indian Wells is forecasted to be a gripping encounter, potentially extending beyond 19.5 games. Shapovalov, known for his temperamental play style, has shown resilience in recent matches and has not lost in straight sets against Sinner before. Both players come with mixed results from previous tournaments, but their previous head-to-head record indicates a potentially competitive match. The betting odds seem to favor Sinner, but Shapovalov could make the first set particularly intense.
John Eastwood 07 Mar 2026
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  • Shapovalov has a 1-1 record against Sinner, winning 4-5 sets
  • The Canadian won in 3 sets in both matches in Indian Wells
  • Watch Denis Shapovalov vs Jannik Sinner live in the third round
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Denis Shapovalov Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner beat Denis Shapovalov in 4 sets at the 2025 US Open (Getty)

Denis Shapovalov is a temperamental player who has gone the distance in four of his last five matches. He has never lost in straight sets to Jannik Sinner, this one backed to go over 19.5 games.


Denis Shapovalov Jannik Sinner
Age 26 (15 April 1999) 24 (16 August 2001)
Height 6'1" (1.85m) 6'3" (1.91m)
Plays Left-Handed Right-Handed
World Ranking 39 2
Career High 10 (September 2020) 1 (June 2024)
ATP Tour Titles 4 24
2026 ATP Tour Titles 0 0
Grand Slam Titles 0 4
ATP Indian Wells Best Result Fourth Round (2019) Semi-Finals (2023, 2024)

HTH


Denis Shapovalov is 1-1 against Jannik Sinner, both clashes coming in Grand Slams.

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025 US Open Hard R32 Sinner 5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3
2021 Australian Open Hard R128 Shapovalov 3-6 6-3 6-2 4-6 6-4

Shapovalov Up and Down


Denis Shapovalov had a poor start to the year, losing to Raphael Collignon in the first round in Brisbane and Marin Cilic in the Australian Open second round.

The Canadian went deeper in Dallas, getting past Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to reach the semi-finals where he went down in 3 sets to Ben Shelton. He had a shocker in Dubai, a 6-2 6-4 first round defeat to World No.124 Pablo Carreno Busta.

Shapovalov has spent over four hours on court in Indian Wells, getting past Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-2 3-6 6-4 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 2-6 7-6. He saved a combined 4/9 break points in California.

Sinner Chasing First Final in Indian Wells


Jannik Sinner was in formidable form at the Australian Open before running into Novak Djokovic. He was set for victory in the semi-finals before going down in 5 sets.

The 24-year-old suffered another setback in Doha where he exited in the quarter-finals. He lost 7-6 2-6 6-3 to Jakub Mensik, saving 2/4 break points.

The World No.2 crushed Dalibor Svrcina 6-1 6-1 in his opening match in Indian Wells. He saved one break point and converted 5/12 against the qualifier.

Sinner talked about his preparation after the victory: "I feel mentally I’m in a good place. I’m calm, I’m relaxed. But I’m also very happy to compete. We did a lot of work.

"Many, many hours on court. Many hours in the gym. I’m trying to get a little bit stronger. We did double sessions, not many days off at all."

Verdict

Jannik Sinner is super short in the betting odds but has never done it easy against Denis Shapovalov. I am backing the Canadian to make the first set competitive and take the match over 19.5 games.

Best Bet1: Over 19.5 Games Total Games @20/21 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 10.5 Games Set 1 Total Games @4/1 at bet365 - 1 Unit
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Denis Shapovalov v Jannik Sinner