Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaur Live Stream & Predictions - Korda to Upset the Odds in Indian Wells

John Eastwood

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Last updated: Sat 07 Mar 2026 10:51

John Eastwood 07 Mar 2026

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Sebastian Korda has won 12 of his last 14 matches
Alex de Minaur has won 11 of his last 13 matches
I am expecting a close 2nd round clash in Indian Wells

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Sebastian Korda will be meeting Alex de Minaur for the fifth time in Indian Wells (Getty)

Sebastian Korda and Alex de Minaur have won titles this year with a close clash expected in Indian Wells. The recent form is on Korda’s side and the American can get it done on home soil.

HTH
Korda on Track for Top 20
De Minaur Aiming to Bounce Back

	Sebastian Korda	Alex de Minaur
Nationality	United States	Australia
Age	25 (5 July 2000)	27 (17 February 1999)
Height	6'5" (1.96m)	6'0" (1.83m)
Plays	Right-Handed	Right-Handed
World Ranking	37	6
Career High	15 (August 2024)	6 (July 2024)
ATP Tour Titles	3	11
2026 ATP Tour Titles	1	1
ATP Indian Wells Best Result	Third Round (2024)	Fourth Round (2022, 2024, 2025)

HTH

Alex de Minaur is 3-1 against Sebastian Korda, winning the previous three encounters.

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2024	s Hertogenbosch	Grass	F	De Minaur	6-2 6-4
2024	Rotterdam	Hard	R32	De Minaur	6-4 6-3
2022	Paris Masters	Hard	R64	De Minaur	6-4 4-6 6-4
2021	Wimbledon	Grass	R128	Korda	6-3 6-4 6-7 7-6

Korda on Track for Top 20

Sebastian Korda disappointed in three events in Australia before a final appearance at the San Diego Challenger installed some confidence.

The 25-year-old suffered a narrow 6-7 6-4 7-6 quarter-final defeat to Taylor Fritz in Dallas and backed up by winning the Delray Beach Open. He dropped one set on his way to the final where he beat Tommy Paul 6-4 6-3.

The American commented after lifting the trophy: "It means a lot. I’ve been through some stuff the past couple of months, years. I’ve lost a lot of finals and now to get one here in Delray, this is where I made my first ATP final, so it’s like a full-circle day. I’m just happy."

Korda serve was broken three times in his opening set in Indian Wells. He came home strong to defeat Francisco Comesana 7-5 6-0, winning 24/33 points in the second set.

De Minaur Aiming to Bounce Back

Alex de Minaur had a strong start to the year, dropping one set to reach the Australian Open quarter-finals. He was no match for Carlos Alcaraz, beaten in straight sets by the World No.1.

The 26-year-old immediately went to Rotterdam and won the title. He beat Arthur Fils and Ugo Humbert in straight sets on his way to the final where he thrashed Felix Auger Aliassime 6-3 6-2.

The World No.6 is coming off a shocker in Acapulco, beaten 6-1 6-7 7-6 by Patrick Kypson in his opening match. He led 5-3 in the third set but couldn’t close it out.

Verdict

Sebastian Korda v Alex De Minaur

Sebastian Korda is coming off a title win in Delray Beach and is on the way back to the Top 20. Alex de Minaur suffered a shock defeat in Acapulco so I am backing the underdog in Indian Wells.

3 Sets

Total Sets

@23/17 - 2 Units

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Sebastian Korda Win

Winner

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