Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti Live Stream & Betting Tips - Hurkacz to Upset the Odds in Madrid
Hubert Hurkacz, showing significant improvement on clay, is set to challenge Lorenzo Musetti in the ATP Madrid Open. Despite a rocky start to the season on hard courts, Hurkacz has regained momentum on clay, and many anticipate him upsetting the odds in this encounter. On the other hand, Musetti, a top-ranked player whose form has slightly wavered since the Australian Open, will be a strong competitor but faces a formidable opponent in Hurkacz. The match promises an exciting clash of styles and skills in the Spanish capital.
- Hurkacz has won 10 of his last 14 matches on clay
- Musetti has gone 2-3 since the Australian Open
- The situation is set for an upset at ATP Madrid
Hubert Hurkacz had a shocking end to the hard court swing but has shown significant improvement on clay. I think Lorenzo Musetti is way too short in Madrid, Hurkacz to win at big odds.
| Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Nationality | Poland | Italy |
| Age | 29 (11 February 1997) | 24 (3 March 2002) |
| Height | 6'5" (1.96m) | 6'1" (1.85m) |
| Plays | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| World Ranking | 63 | 9 |
| Career High | 6 (August 2024) | 5 (January 2026) |
| ATP Tour Titles | 8 | 2 |
| ATP Madrid Best Result | Quarter-Finals (2022) | Semi-Finals (2025) |
HTH
Hubert Hurkacz is 2-2 against Lorenzo Musetti, both wins coming at Wimbledon.
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Hurkacz | 7-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Musetti | 6-3 5-7 6-3 |
| 2021 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Hurkacz | 6-4 7-6 6-1 |
| 2021 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Musetti | 6-4 2-0 RET |
Hurkacz Bouncing Back on Clay
The season started positively for Hubert Hurkacz, beating Alexander Zverev and Taylor Fritz at the United Cup. He then went on a shocking run of form, losing seven straight matches on hard courts.
The Pole got back to winning ways on clay in Monte Carlo, defeating Luciano Darderi and Fabian Marozsan before a 3 sets defeat to Valentin Vacherot in the third round.
Hurkacz wasn’t troubled in his opening match in Madrid, winning 75% of his 2nd serves and saving all three break points in a 6-3 6-3 victory over Jaime Faria.
Musetti Regaining Fitness
Lorenzo Musetti has been a Top 10 player for almost a year but that position is coming under threat. He started the year in Hong Kong where he went down to Alexander Bublik in the final.
The Italian climbed as high as World No.5 after a quarter-final run at the Australian Open. He won the first two sets against Novak Djokovic before being forced to retire due to injury.
The 24-year-old was out for nearly two months, getting back in action with early exits in Indian Wells and Monte Carlo.
Musetti got back to winning ways in Barcelona where he beat Martin Landaluce and Corentin Moutet in straight sets. He ran into Arthur Fils in the quarter-finals and went down 6-3 6-4 in 75 minutes.
Verdict
Lorenzo Musetti is 2-3 since the Australian Open and Hubert Hurkacz is a former Top 10 player. I am going against the odds here and backing Hurkacz to advance in Madrid.
Hubert Hurkacz Win
Winner
@7/4 - 3 Units
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