Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaur Live Stream & Betting Tips - De Minaur to Bounce Back in Madrid

John Eastwood

Editor

Last updated: Thu 23 Apr 2026 17:35

John Eastwood 23 Apr 2026

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Jodar has won 13 of his last 15 matches
The 19-year-old has an 0-2 record vs Top 10 players

I am backing De Minaur to get back to winning ways

Expired

Rafael Jodar got past Jesper de Jong in the first round in Madrid (Getty)

Rafael Jodar is a rising star who overcame a nervous start in Madrid. Alex de Minaur has had time to reflect on his early exit in Barcelona, the Top 10 player to eliminate the local hope here.

HTH
Jodar Continues to Climb
De Minaur in a Slump

	Rafael Jodar	Alex de Minaur
Nationality	Spain	Australia
Age	19 (17 September 2006)	27 (17 February 1999)
Height	6'3" (1.91m)	6'0" (1.83m)
Plays	Right-Handed	Right-Handed
World Ranking	42	8
Career High	42 (April 2026)	6 (July 2024)
ATP Tour Titles	1	11
2026 ATP Tour Titles	1	1
ATP Madrid Best Result	First Appearance	Fourth Round (2025)

HTH

This will be the first match between Rafael Jodar and Alex de Minaur.

Jodar Continues to Climb

Rafael Jodar started the year World No.165 and is rocketing up the rankings. He won his first ATP Tour event in Marrakech, dropping only one set in Morocco.

The 19-year-old took that form to Barcelona where he thrashed Jaume Munar, Ugo Carabelli and Cameron Norrie to reach the semi-finals. He went close against Arthur Fils, saving 10/13 break points in a 3-6 6-3 6-2 defeat.

The Spaniard had a slow start in Madrid, coming back to beat Jesper de Jong 2-6 7-5 6-4. He won just 17/45 (38%) of his 2nd serves and saved 5/10 break points.

De Minaur in a Slump

Alex de Minaur had a strong start this year, beaten by Carlos Alcaraz in the Australian Open quarter-finals and winning the title in Rotterdam.

The 27-year-old had a poor end to the hard court swing and that carried over onto clay. He got to the quarter-finals in Monte Carlo, beaten in 3 sets by Valentin Vacherot after saving 6/10 break points.

The Australian defeated Sebastian Ofner 7-6 6-4 in Barcelona and was a heavy favourite to beat Hamad Medjedovic. He suffered a 6-3 6-4 defeat to go out in the third round, saving 5/8 break points.

Verdict

Rafael Jodar v Alex De Minaur

Rafael Jodar is a hot prospect who is yet to win in two attempts against Top 10 players. I think his time will come, but Alex de Minaur hasn’t lost his opening match in a clay court event in two years.

Alex de Minaur Win

Winner

@10/11 - 3 Units

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Alex de Minaur Win 2-1

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