Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan Betting Tips – Duncan To Spring Upset In UFC Main Event
Christian Leroy Duncan is forecast to spring an upset against Brendan Allen in their headline bout. Duncan, riding a 5-fight win streak, is seen as the cleaner striker and is expected to use this advantage to keep the contest standing. If Duncan can prevent Allen, a submission specialist, from taking the fight to the ground, he is tipped to out-point Allen over five rounds and secure a decision victory.
- Christian Leroy Duncan is on a 5-fight win streak and is tipped to upset Brendan Allen
- Duncan is considered the better striker, with the key being to keep the contest standing
- Brendan Allen’s recent fights exposed weaknesses in his stand-up
- Key Numbers – Can Duncan Make It 6-In-A-Row?
- Brendan Allen On 3-Fight Win Streak
- Christian Leroy Duncan On 5-Fight Tear
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan Betting Tips
Christian Leroy Duncan is tipped to spring an upset in the main event.
Duncan is the better, cleaner striker out of these two men, and that can be the difference against Brendan Allen, who took some damage in his win over Edmen Shahbazyan in June.
Key Numbers – Can Duncan Make It 6-In-A-Row?
- Christian Leroy Duncan is on a 5-fight win streak
- 3 of Christian Leroy Duncan’s last 5 wins have been by decision
- Brendan Allen’s last 2 defeats came in points
Brendan Allen On 3-Fight Win Streak
Brendan Allen is the number four ranked middleweight contender with a professional record of 27-7 (6 KOs, 14 Subs).
Allen earned his shot in the UFC with a successful appearance on Dana White’s Contender Series back in July 2019, and raced out of the blocks with four straight wins.
He split the next four, but responded with a career-best surge as he reeled off seven straight victories to climb the rankings.
That red-hot run included four straight submission victories over Krzysztof Jotko, Andre Muniz, Bruno Silva and Paul Craig.
Allen’s run was halted by a unanimous decision defeat to Nassourdine Imavov in September 2025, and several months later he dropped another decision, this time to Anthony Hernandez.
The 30-year-old has not lost since though, sparking his three-game run with a unanimous decision victory over Marvin Vettori.
He then followed that up with a fourth-round stoppage of Reinier de Ridder in October of last year, and a unanimous decision victory over Edmen Shahbazyan back in June.
Christian Leroy Duncan On 5-Fight Tear
Christian Leroy Duncan is the number 10 ranked middleweight contender with a career record of 15-2 (10 KOs, 1 Subs).
Duncan joined the UFC in March 2023 and enjoyed a successful debut, beating Dusko Todorovic by TKO, only to then drop his next fight with Amen Petrosyan by decision.
He rebounded quickly with a second-round stoppage of Denis Tiuliulin, and then knocked out Claudio Ribeiro in the second round.
The 31-year-old Englishman failed to make it three-in-a-row as he lost a decision to Gregory Rodrigues in July 2024, but he has not tasted defeat since then.
Duncan got back on track with a unanimous decision win over Andrey Pulyaev the following March, and built on that during the second half of 2025.
He knocked out Eryk Anders in the first round, before stopping Marco Tulio in the second round.
‘CLD’ then backed that up with two more wins this year, as he beat both Roman Dolidze and Jared Cannonier by unanimous decision.
Verdict
Brendan Allen won last time out, but he took some punishment in the stand-up and those holes are something that Christian Leroy Duncan can exploit.
If he can prevent Allen from taking this to the mat, he can out-point his opponent with strikes over five rounds to earn a decision.
If he can prevent Allen from taking this to the mat, he can out-point his opponent with strikes over five rounds to earn a decision.
Christian Leroy Duncan
Winner
@23/20 - 4 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS
Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad
Duncan by Decision
Method Of Victory
@9/2 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £10
Promo Code: NEWBONUS
New customers only. Bet £10+ to receive £10 in Free Bets. 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. GambleAware.org
US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.
He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.
Read More
Related
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
21 September 2026
- EMEA Masters 2026 Summer -
- Esports
24 September 2026
- VALORANT Champions 2026 -
- Esports
- EuroLeague 2026/27 -
- Basketball
28 September 2026
Load More
Sports Tips Starts in
Today's Acca Tips
-
Soccer tips
-
Horse Racing tips
-
Tennis tips
