RegisterLog in
UFC & MMA
  • Home
  • UFC & MMA

Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan Betting Tips – Moicano To Tap Out Nolan At UFC Fight Night

leigh-copson
Leigh Copson
Editor
Last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026 11:50
Renato Moicano is tipped to win against Tom Nolan in their lightweight UFC bout, with Moicano’s submission skills highlighted as the key advantage. Moicano has 11 career submission wins and has finished six of his last nine UFC victories by submission, rarely going the distance. Tom Nolan, ranked 14th, is on a five-fight win streak, but Moicano’s experience and grappling ability are expected to neutralise Nolan’s striking and lead to a likely submission finish if the fight goes to the mat.
Share
Leigh Copson 2 hours ago
Share this article
Or copy link
Copy
  • Renato Moicano tipped to win against Tom Nolan
  • Moicano has 11 submission wins and excels when fights go to the mat
  • Tom Nolan is on a five-fight win streak but may struggle with Moicano's grappling
Renato Moicano (Getty Images)

Renato Moicano is tipped to win this battle of ranked lightweight fighters.

Moicano has a big edge if these two fighters hit the mat, and we expect him to take down Tom Nolan and secure the submission finish.

Key Numbers – Will Moicano Record 12th Submission Win?

Renato Moicano has 11 submission wins on his record
6 of Renato Moicano’s last 9 wins in the UFC have been by submission
Renato Moicano has gone the distance in just 2 of his last 15 fights

Renato Moicano Snapped Two-Fight Skid In April

Renato Moicano is the number 12 ranked lightweight contender with a professional record of 21-7-1 (2 KOs, 11 Subs).

Moicano has been competing in the UFC since 2014 and has faced a who’s who of fighters in the lighter weight classes with mixed results.

He enjoyed his best run of form in the UFC between November 2022 and September 2024, as he reeled off four consecutive victories to earn himself a shot at the lightweight title.

Having dropped a catchweight bout with Rafael dos Anjos via decision, the 37-year-old Brazilian rebounded with a first-round submission win over Brad Riddell.

Moicano backed that up with a unanimous decision victory over Drew Dober, before scoring the first TKO wins of his career as he stopped both Jalin Turner and Benoit Saint Denis in two rounds.

That earned him a shot at Islam Makhachev’s lightweight crown in January of last year, but he came up short as he lost via first-round submission.

‘Money Moicano’ then lost by decision to Beneil Dariush, but he rebounded in April of this year with a second-round submission of Chris Duncan.

Tom Nolan On Five-Fight Win Streak

Tom Nolan is the number 14 ranked lightweight contender with a career record of 11-1 (5 KOs, 1 Sub).

Nolan joined the UFC in late 2023 after a successful appearance on Dana White’s Contender Series, and made his debut in January 2024.

The 26-year-old Australian endured a disappointing start as he was knocked out in the first round by Nikolas Motta, but he has rebounded since then.

He registered his first UFC win four months later as he knocked out Victor Martinez in the opening round, and then closed out his 2024 activity with a decision win over Alex Reyes.

Nolan backed that up with two more wins last year, as he beat Viacheslav Borschchev by unanimous decision and Charlie Campbell by first-round submission.

‘Big Train’ then made it five-in-a-row in June of this year, as he beat Fares Ziam on points.

Verdict

Renato Moicano is a seasoned campaigner with slick submission skills.

We expect him to cancel out Tom Nolan’s striking advantage by taking this to the mat, where he can work his way to a fight-ending submission.

Best Bet1: Renato Moicano Winner @4/5 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Moicano by Submission Method Of Victory @37/20 at bet365 - 2 Units
Renato Moicano
Winner
@4/5 - 4 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
Moicano by Submission
Method Of Victory
@37/20 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.

During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.

He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.

Read More

Related

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Upcoming Events

15 October 2026

  • 2026 League of Legends World Championship -
  • Esports

19 October 2026

  • EuroLeague 2026/27 -
  • Basketball

22 October 2026

  • PARI Universe -
  • Esports
Load More
01 Nov 2026

Renato Moicano v Tom Nolan

days

hours

min
Add to Calendar

Sports Tips Starts in

Today's Acca Tips

  • Soccer tips

  • Horse Racing tips

 bonus image
Resources
Copyright © 2026 All Rights Reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part in any form or medium without express written permission is prohibited. Players must be 18 or over and located in jurisdictions where online gambling is legal. Please play responsibly. Bet with your head, not over it. Know when to Stop. Gamble responsibly and Think about your choices. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, and wants help, call or visit: gamcare.org.uk (UK), 800gambler.org (US), or gamblinghelponline.org.au (Australia). Gambling is addictive 18+. #Ads © 2026 freetips.com
Hear more from Freetips.com