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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Tips - Rays to win an edgy series opener in MLB Playoffs

leigh-copson
Editor
Last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026 12:09
The Tampa Bay Rays are tipped to win the series opener against the New York Yankees, favored by their strong home record (55-26) and starter Drew Rasmussen's dominance over the Yankees (1.81 ERA). Despite the Yankees' recent blowout wins over Boston and solid postseason form, Tampa’s home advantage and pitching edge are key. The under bet is recommended, as low scoring is expected—7 of Tampa's last 9 home games saw the under hit. Tip: Rays to win and under 7 total runs.
Leigh Copson 02 Oct 2026
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  • Tampa Bay Rays are favored at home with strong record and dominant pitcher Rasmussen.
  • The Yankees enter hot after sweeping Boston but face a tough Rays team.
  • Tip: Bet on Rays to win and under 7 total runs for Game 1.
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Tips
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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Tips

A tight series opener is predicted with under the game total of runs, while the Tampa Bay are tipped to win the opening game of this series at home with starter Drew Rasmussen having dominated the Yankees during his career.

  • Tampa Bay Rays are 55-26 at home this season
  • Tampa Bay Rays are 12-3 in their last 15 home games
  • Drew Rasmussen is 5-2 with a 1.81 ERA all-time against New York Yankees
  • The Under has hit in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 home games

Head To Head

  • New York Yankees lead the all-time series 280-214
  • New York Yankees won 6-4 when the two teams last met on September 24

New York Yankees Form

New York booked their playoff place by finishing second in the AL East with a 93-68 record - 4.5 games behind playoff opponents Tampa Bay.

They entered the postseason in solid form with four wins in their final six regular season games, and continued that good run with a perfect Wild Card performance.

The Yankees swept arch rivals Boston in two games, recording 9-0 and 9-2 blowout wins.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Sep-29 vs Boston Red Sox W 9-0
Sep-30 vs Boston Red Sox W 9-2

Tampa Bay Rays Form

Tampa Bay secured their trip to the postseason by going 98-64 to finish top of the AL East - 4.5 games clear of playoff opponents New York.

They wrapped up the regular season with a solid run of form, winning 11 of their final 16 regular season games.

Starting Pitchers

PlayerTeamRecordERAStrikeoutsInnings
TBC New York Yankees - - - -
Drew Rasmussen Tampa Bay Rays 16-5 2.67 174 172.0

Verdict

New York are coming in hot after the blowout wins over Boston, but we are backing Tampa in Game 1.

The Rays have been excellent at home this season, and Rasmussen's record against the Yankees is impressive.

Best Bet1: Tampa Bay Win Moneyline @15/19 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Under 7.0 Total Runs @4/5 at dabble - 2 Units
Tampa Bay Win
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Under 7.0
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leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.

During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.

He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.

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