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San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers Tips - Padres to meet their match in MLB playoffs Game 1

leigh-copson
Editor
Last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026 12:09
The Milwaukee Brewers enter the MLB playoffs in dominant fashion, boasting a league-best 103 regular-season wins and closing the season with 15 wins from their last 18 games. They hold home advantage and will start Jacob Misiorowski, who sports a stellar 1.80 ERA. Although the Padres have reached the postseason with a blistering 18 wins from their last 21 games and swept the Cubs in the Wild Card round, their road record (40-41) lags behind Milwaukee’s consistency. The recommendation is to back the Brewers, with pitching and home field advantage key factors.
Leigh Copson 02 Oct 2026
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  • Brewers finished with MLB-best 103 wins; Padres won 91 and are on a hot streak.
  • Milwaukee holds home advantage and boasts Jacob Misiorowski (1.80 ERA) as starting pitcher.
  • Brewers are backed to win with tips for Milwaukee -1.5 and under 7 total runs.
San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers Tips
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San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers Tips

The Padres are in red-hot form at the right time, but they are having to face the best team in the regular season. With Jacob Misiorowski named for the Brewers, Milwaukee are backed to win this at home.

  • Milwaukee Brewers won a league-high 103 regular season games
  • San Diego Padres were 40-41 on the road in the regular season
  • Jacob Misiorowski has a 1.80 ERA this season
  • 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games produced 7 games or less

Head To Head

  • San Diego Padres lead the all-time series 99-93
  • San Diego Padres won 4-3 when the two teams last met on August 12

San Diego Padres Form

San Diego booked their place in the postseason by putting together a 91-71 regular season record to finish second in the NL West - nine games behind Los Angeles.

They came into the playoffs as the hottest team in Major League Baseball, winning 18 of their final 21 regular season games.

The Padres' red-hot run then continued in the Wild Card round, as they swept the Chicago Cubs, winning 8-0 and 7-3.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Sep-29 vs Chicago Cubs W 8-0
Sep-30 vs Chicago Cubs W 7-3

Milwaukee Brewers Form

Milwaukee booked their playoff run in dominant fashion, racking up a league high 103 wins to finish top of the NL Central.

The Brewers' 103-59 record put them 14 games clear of the Cubs in the division standings.

They closed out the regular season on a hot streak too, as they won 15 of their final 18 games.

Starting Pitchers

PlayerTeamRecordERAStrikeoutsInnings
Gerrit Cole* New York Yankees 10-9 3.61 131 127.0
Jacob Misiorowski Milwaukee Brewers 16-5 1.80 252 174.2
* Projected at time of writing

Verdict

San Diego's streak is tough to ignore, but it was Milwaukee who put it together for the entirety of the regular season.

They are well rested, have home advantage and an outstanding starter lined up for Saturday, so we are backing the Brewers.

Best Bet1: Milwaukee -1.5 Line @1/1 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Under 7.0 Total Runs @4/5 at dabble - 2 Units
Milwaukee -1.5
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leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.

During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.

He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.

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