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Tasmania JackJumpers vs Melbourne United Tips & Live Stream - United's to lock down for NBL win

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Wed 30 Sep 2026 06:29
Melbourne United are tipped to cover a -4.5-point spread on the road against the Tasmania JackJumpers, thanks to their strong defensive performance and deep roster. Recent form shows Melbourne dominating South East Melbourne defensively, while Tasmania has been prolific offensively but patchy on defense. David Johnson and Cole Anthony are highlighted as key players to watch, both predicted to hit 3+ three-pointers in the game. Bettors should consider Melbourne’s defensive edge, making them the favored choice in a tight early-season contest.
Jeremy Darke 2 hours ago
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  • Melbourne United favored to cover -4.5-point spread vs Tasmania.
  • Johnson & Anthony both backed for 3+ three-pointers.
  • Melbourne’s strong defence could swing a close game.
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Melbourne United to cover (Getty Images)
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Tasmania JackJumpers vs Melbourne United Verdict


Melbourne United can put on a defensive show and cover a 4.5-point line on the road in Tasmania. David Johnson and Cole Anthony are the props to follow with 3+ three-pointers predicted for both.

  • Melbourne held South East Melbourne to 61 points, including just four in the final quarter.
  • Tasmania have started NBL27 1-1, scoring 96 against SEM and 87 against Cairns.
  • David Johnson has made seven three-pointers from 13 attempts through two games.
  • Cole Anthony attempted seven threes in Melbourne's win over SEM.

Head to Head


Melbourne have had the better of this matchup recently, but Tasmania's home court has traditionally made meetings in Hobart considerably more competitive.

Tasmania JackJumpers Form


Tasmania opened their season with a 96-91 win over South East Melbourne before going north and falling 93-87 to Cairns. They've therefore scored 183 points and conceded 184 through their opening two games.

Taran Armstrong has immediately taken on a major playmaking role, while David Johnson has provided some serious perimeter shooting. 

Johnson has made 3 and 4 threes in his two appearances, shooting 7/13 from outside while also averaging 19 points per game.

Will Magnay and Nick Marshall continue to provide Tasmania with size and rebounding, while Dakota Mathias gives them another genuine perimeter threat. 

The JackJumpers have had enough offensive contributors to reach at least 87 points in both games, although the defensive end hasn't been quite as convincing.

Melbourne United Form


Melbourne are also 1-1, although they've been separated from a perfect start by only two points. 

They lost their opener 97-95 to Adelaide before producing a completely different type of performance in an 86-61 win over South East Melbourne.

Josh Oduro was excellent against the Phoenix with 21 points and eight rebounds, while Cole Anthony finished with 18 points, five rebounds and six assists. 

Luke Travers added nine points and 10 boards as Melbourne dominated the glass and held SEM to 26.4 per cent shooting.

NBL Streams

Verdict

Melbourne United -4.5 is the game selection, with David Johnson and Cole Anthony both backed for 3+ three-pointers.

Best Bet1: Melbourne -4.5 Handicap/Line @10/11 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Cole Anthony 3+ Threes @1/2 at dabble - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Daviid Johnson 3+ Threes @7/10 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Melbourne -4.5
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Cole Anthony
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Daviid Johnson
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jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Australian Sports Specialist & Betting Analyst

Jeremy is a freelance journalist who is a true sports activist. A die-hard fan of the NRL all his life and also has a passion for all the major American sports.


From when he was a little fella he has played most sports ranging from rugby, ice hockey, tennis and football, just to name a few. His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster.

Tipster and presenter on YouTube and a co-founder of The Sports Cap and The Basketball Fix.

You can find Jeremy on Muckrack and LinkedIn.

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